The Atlanta Hawks (4-6) will travel to Talking Stick Resort Arena to take on the Phoenix Suns (6-4). The Hawks opened as 7-point underdogs. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 227.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Arizona at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 14, 2019.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
The last time the Hawks played, they beat the Denver Nuggets, 125-121, as 10-point underdogs. The Suns, on the other hand, were topped by the Los Angeles Lakers, 123-115, and were not able to cover as 3-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game went 37 points over the projected point total of 209, while the Phoenix game finished 17.5 points over the projected point total of 220.5.
The Hawks had a solid free throw rate of 0.265 (above their season average of 0.187) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.620 (above their season average of 0.509). Phoenix, on the other hand, did a great job of converting from the free throw line (13-17; 76.5 percent). Ricky Rubio led the way for Phoenix, contributing 21 points and 10 assists. Atlanta, meanwhile, received a boost from Trae Young, who recorded 42 points and 11 assists.
The Hawks dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the most recent contest, Atlanta won 120-112. Atlanta did a great job of getting and making free throws (32-38; 84.2 percent). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.511 vs. 0.478). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Hawks’ 10 games, seven have finished under the O/U total. Atlanta holds records of 4-6 straight up (SU) and 5-5 against the spread (ATS).
Suns games have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Additionally, Phoenix is 6-4 SU and 8-2 ATS.
The Hawks’ Jabari Parker has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 22 points,8.0 rebounds,1.2 steals,1.2 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Rubio has averaged 16 points,8.2 assists,6.0 rebounds,1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Suns.
Phoenix should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Suns rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 17th in defensive efficiency. Ball security could be troublesome for the Hawks. They rank 30th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.5 percent), while the Suns force the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 16.0 percent).
Atlanta Hawks vs. Phoenix Suns Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Phoenix ranks sixth in fast break points per game (15.8) while Atlanta ranks 26th (11.3).
- The Suns rank ninth in steals allowed per game (7.3) while the Hawks rank 25th (9.3).
- Atlanta ranks third in points in the paint per game (53.2) while Phoenix ranks 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.6).
- Atlanta ranks 22nd in rebounds per game (43.8) while Phoenix ranks 26th (42.5).
- The Suns rank second in points off turnovers per game (22.0) while the Hawks rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
- The Suns rank first in assists per game (28.5) while the Hawks rank 14th (23.4).
- Phoenix ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while Atlanta ranks 21st (35.1).
- Phoenix is 1-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Atlanta is 1-0.
- The Suns are 6-3 when they reach 100 points, while the Hawks are 4-3.
- Atlanta is 2-2 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 5-2 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Suns’ 7 home games, while 2 of the Hawks’ 4 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Suns are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Phoenix has 4 overs and 1 under, while Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (4.2 above their season average).
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.2, up from 3.6 for the season.
