The league’s top scoring team will be at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (59-21) challenge the Atlanta Hawks (29-51). The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 7, 2019.
Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last matchup. The Hawks (9-point underdogs) were defeated by the Orlando Magic, 149-113, while the Bucks (4-point underdogs) fell to the Brooklyn Nets, 133-128. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game finished 36.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5, while the Milwaukee game went 29.5 points over the projected point total of 231.5.
Atlanta forced Orlando into a turnover percentage of 15.6 (above their season average of 11.5) while Milwaukee made 16 of their 34 three pointers (47.1 percent). Eric Bledsoe led the way for Milwaukee, contributing 33 points and 11 assists. Atlanta, meanwhile, was lifted by Trae Young, who had 22 points, seven rebounds and six assists.
The Bucks lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined for 271 points in their most recent game, which was well over the projected point total of 230.5. Milwaukee lost 136-135 but was unable to cover as a 2-point favorite. Atlanta had a better turnover percentage (6.7 vs. 11.3). Milwaukee, on the other hand, did an excellent job of making free throws (22-23; 95.7 percent). John Collins recorded a double-double with 23 points and 12 rebounds.
Matchups involving the Hawks have a tendency to go over the O/U total (57.5 percent). Atlanta heads into the contest with records of 29-51 straight up (SU) and 41-39 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Atlanta, a little over half of Bucks games have finished under the projected point total. Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 59-21 SU and 47-29-3 ATS.
The Hawks’ Young has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 24 points,10.6 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Sterling Brown has averaged 15 points,6.0 rebounds,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Bucks.
Milwaukee could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-powered offense faces off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Bucks rank third in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 27th in defensive efficiency.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (5.9) while the Hawks rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.8) while Atlanta ranks 29th (16.4).
- The Bucks rank third in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Hawks rank 27th (9.9).
- Milwaukee ranks sixth in second chance points allowed per game (12.3) while Atlanta ranks 28th (14.6).
- Milwaukee ranks seventh in assists per game (26.1) while Atlanta ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (27.0).
- The Hawks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (36.9) while the Bucks rank last in three pointers allowed per game (36.0).
- The Bucks average 49.5 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. The Hawks rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (45.9).
- Milwaukee ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while Atlanta ranks 18th (49.2).
- Milwaukee ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while Atlanta ranks 28th (21.2).
- In games where they allow less than 100 points, Milwaukee is 20-1 and Atlanta is 3-2.
- When scoring above 100 points, the Hawks are 28-41 and the Bucks are 58-17.
- Atlanta is 23-17 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 23-14-1 ATS at home.
- In 40 road games, the Hawks have 23 overs and 17 unders.
- The Bucks have 19 overs and 19 unders in 38 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 4 overs and 1 under, while Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 130.0 points per game (11.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 126.0 points per game (16.9 above their season average).
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.6, up from 6.1 for the season.
