The Atlanta Hawks (4-14) head to Bankers Life Fieldhouse to clash with the Indiana Pacers (11-6). The Hawks are 10.5-point underdogs and look to snap their eight-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 225.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 29, 2019.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last outing. The Pacers (1-point favorites) defeated the Utah Jazz, 121-102, while the Hawks (14.5-point underdogs) fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 111-102. The Indiana game went 15.5 points over the projected point total of 207.5, while the Atlanta game went 26.5 points under the projected point total of 239.5.
Indiana played a nearly perfect contest. They had a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 11.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.563 (above their season average of 0.520). For those same stats, Utah had marks of 14.5 and 0.494, respectively. Atlanta, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.5 vs. 22.2). Indiana rallied around Domantas Sabonis, who had 23 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Jabari Parker played a key role for Atlanta with 33 points, 14 rebounds and five assists.
The Pacers dominated this series last year, taking all four contests. In the most recent game, Indiana won 135-134. The Pacers’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Hawks. Indiana had a rate of 6.5, while Atlanta posted a mark of 12.4. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Oddsmakers have a tendency to place the total low when the Hawks are involved, as 10 of their 18 games have ended over the total. Atlanta heads into the game with records of 4-14 straight up (SU) and 8-10 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Atlanta, games including the Pacers have a slight tendency to go under the O/U total (52.9 percent). Further, Indiana owns records of 11-6 SU and 8-7-2 ATS.
Indiana appears to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Pacers currently rank eighth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.503), while Atlanta is 23rd in effective field goal percentage (0.508).
Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers average 12.8 fast break points per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. The Hawks rank 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.8).
- Indiana ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.6) while Atlanta ranks 27th (8.8).
- The Pacers rank 10th in blocks per game (5.5) while the Hawks rank 28th in blocks allowed per game (8.0).
- Indiana ranks 10th in three pointers allowed per game (32.2) while Atlanta ranks 25th (35.6).
- Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.5) while Atlanta ranks 18th (24.6).
- The Pacers rank sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.9) while the Hawks rank 26th (20.3).
- The Pacers rank fourth in points in the paint per game (50.6) while the Hawks rank 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.1).
- Indiana ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.7) while Atlanta ranks 25th (14.7).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Indiana is 4-1 and Atlanta is 1-0.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Hawks are 4-11 and the Pacers are 11-3.
- Indiana is 5-3-2 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 3-6 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Pacers’ 10 home games, while 6 of the Hawks’ 9 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Atlanta and Indiana are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Hawks have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the Pacers have 3 overs and 2 unders
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.4, up from 9.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.0 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
