Atlanta Hawks vs. Brooklyn Nets ATS Prediction 12/16/18

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The Atlanta Hawks (6-22), 8-point underdogs, will travel to the Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets (12-18). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 16, 2018.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Brooklyn Nets ATS Odds

The Nets come in on a high note after covering the 3-point spread against the Washington Wizards in their last outing, 125-118. The Hawks, on the other hand, were dismantled by the Boston Celtics, 129-108, and were unable to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Brooklyn game went 20 points over the projected point total of 223, while the Atlanta game finished 15.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5.

The Nets held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 7.5 (below their season average of 19.7) and had a free throw rate of 0.310 (above their season average of 0.204). Atlanta, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.233 (above their season average of 0.192). Spencer Dinwiddie played a pivotal role for Brooklyn with 27 points and six assists. Meanwhile, Atlanta rallied around John Collins, who had 11 points and 14 rebounds.

The Nets edged out the Hawks in this series last year, emerging victorious in three out of four games. In the most recent contest, Brooklyn won 110-105. The Nets’ 12.5 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Hawks, who had a rate of 16.4. This is the first time these teams will battle this year.

Of the Hawks’ 28 games, 16 have finished over the total. Atlanta holds records of 6-22 straight up (SU) and 11-17 against the spread (ATS).

Nets games have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Additionally, Brooklyn owns records of 12-18 SU and 15-15 ATS.

The Hawks’ Collins has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 24 points,13.0 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Dinwiddie has averaged 23 points,5.0 assists during that same time frame for the Nets.

This has potential to be a sloppy game for the offense of Brooklyn. Brooklyn ranks 17th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.9 percent), while the disruptive defense of Atlanta forces the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.4 percent). It will also be a matchup of opposite tempos as the up-tempo Hawks rank first in possessions per game, while the more methodical Nets rank 22nd.

Hawks vs. Nets Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hawks rank 10 in points in the paint per game (49.857142857142854) while the Nets rank 21 in points allowed in the paint per game (50).
  • Brooklyn ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (26.2) while Atlanta ranks 28th (34.2).
  • The Nets rank fifth in assists allowed per game (22.0) while the Hawks rank 29th (27.5).
  • Atlanta ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.8) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (3.9).
  • Brooklyn ranks 11 in second chance points per game (13.866666666666667) while Atlanta ranks 29 in second chance points allowed per game (15.678571428571429).
  • The Nets rank third in fast break points allowed per game (10.4) while the Hawks rank 29th (16.2).
  • The Hawks rank 5 in points off turnovers per game (18.857142857142858) while the Nets rank 25 (15.133333333333333).
  • Brooklyn ranks 16 in rebounds per game (45.233333333333334) while Atlanta ranks 27 in rebounds allowed per game (47.25).
  • Atlanta ranks second in steals per game (9.2) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (6.8).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Brooklyn is 4-1 and Atlanta is 1-2.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the Nets are 12-14 and the Hawks are 6-16.
  • Brooklyn is 6-9 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 7-8 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 8 of the Hawks’ 15 road games, while 9 of the Nets’ 15 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Atlanta and Brooklyn have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Nets are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 2-3.
  • During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 116.4 points per game (6.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.2, down from 10.6 for the season.