Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors ATS Prediction 01/08/19

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A five-game home winning streak is on the line for the Toronto Raptors (30-12), who will be 14.5-point favorites when they clash against the Atlanta Hawks (12-27) at Scotiabank Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 228.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 8, 2019.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Raptors (1-point favorites) defeated the Indiana Pacers 121-105, while the Hawks (6.5-point underdog) beat the Miami Heat 106-82. The Toronto game finished 12.5 points over the projected point total of 213.5, while the Atlanta game finished 30.5 points under the projected point total of 218.5.

The Hawks had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 32.6 (above their season average of 23.9) and held the Heat to an effective field goal percentage of 0.385 (below their season average of 0.507). Meanwhile, Toronto’s 0.618 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Indiana, who had a mark of 0.479. The Raptors’ mark was above their season average of 0.537, while the Pacers’ was below their season average of 0.535. Toronto was led by Pascal Siakam, who finished with 12 points and 10 rebounds. John Collins, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Atlanta with 13 points and 13 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Kyle Lowry led the Raptors to a 124-108 win. He registered a triple-double with 21 points, 17 assists and 12 rebounds. Toronto covered as an 8-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 232 points, which was over the projected point total of 224.5. Toronto’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Raptors had 14 offensive rebounds and 55 total rebounds, while the Hawks had nine and 34, respectively.

Of the Hawks’ 39 games, 21 have finished over the projected point total. Atlanta holds records of 12-27 straight up (SU) and 17-22 against the spread (ATS).

Raptors games have a tendency to go over the total (59.5 percent). Further, Toronto is 30-12 SU and 19-22-1 ATS.

Siakam has really been playing well recently for Toronto, averaging 18 points,7.2 rebounds,3.4 assists over the last five games.

The prolific offense of Toronto (fifth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 111.4) will clash against the bottom-tier defense of Atlanta (25th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 109.7). The Raptors figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors Odds Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors average 45.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. The Hawks rank 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
  • Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (17.9) while Atlanta ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
  • The Raptors rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while the Hawks rank 26th (33.4).
  • Toronto ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.4) while Atlanta ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (14.8).
  • Toronto ranks seventh in blocks per game (5.5) while Atlanta ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
  • The Raptors rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.1) while the Hawks rank last (10.7).
  • The Hawks average 25.7 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Raptors rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.5).
  • Atlanta ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (51.5) while Toronto ranks 12th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.4).
  • Toronto ranks eighth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7) while Atlanta ranks 29th (22.2).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Toronto is 8-1 and Atlanta is 3-2.
  • The Hawks are 11-20 when they score over 100 points, while the Raptors are 27-9.
  • Atlanta is 11-11 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 9-11 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 13 of the Raptors’ 20 home games, while 12 of the Hawks’ 22 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Raptors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Toronto has 4 overs and 1 under, while Atlanta has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
  • The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.4, down from 5.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (2.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.8 points per game (4.8 below their season average).