Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 11/27/19

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The league’s top scoring team will be 14.5-point favorites at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (14-3) go head-to-head with the Atlanta Hawks (4-13). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 239.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Bucks (8.5-point favorites) defeated the Utah Jazz, 122-118, while the Hawks (4.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Minnesota Timberwolves, 125-113. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Milwaukee game went 14 points over the projected point total of 226, while the Atlanta game went 1.5 points over the projected point total of 236.5.

Milwaukee dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 29.4 (above their season average of 21.0) and a turnover percentage of 7.6 (better than their season average of 13.1). For those same stats, Utah was 10.5 and 15.1, respectively. Atlanta, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.489 vs. 0.539). Milwaukee was lifted by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recorded 50 points, 14 rebounds and six assists. Trae Young, meanwhile had a good game for Atlanta, contributing 37 points, nine assists and six rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 135-127 win. He registered a double-double with 33 points and 11 rebounds. Milwaukee was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined for 262 points, which was well over the projected point total of 233.5. Milwaukee had a better effective field goal percentage (0.626 vs. 0.531). Atlanta, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (10.6 vs. 15.7).

Games including the Hawks tend to finish over the total (58.8 percent). Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 4-13 straight up (SU) and 7-10 against the spread (ATS).

Games featuring the Bucks also have a tendency to finish over the total (58.8 percent). Further, Milwaukee owns records of 14-3 SU and 8-9 ATS.

Milwaukee could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Bucks currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 28th in defensive efficiency.

Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.3) while the Hawks rank 13th (47.5).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.8) while Atlanta ranks 27th (42.3).
  • The Bucks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (41.0) while the Hawks rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (35.7).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points per game (18.8) while Atlanta ranks 23rd (11.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (19.1) while Atlanta ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.2).
  • The Bucks rank fourth in blocks per game (6.3) while the Hawks rank 29th in blocks allowed per game (7.8).
  • The Bucks rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Hawks rank 24th (9.0).
  • Milwaukee averages 24.4 assists per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.4) while Atlanta ranks 25th (14.6).
  • In games where they allow below 100 points, Milwaukee is 3-0 and Atlanta is 1-0.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Hawks are 4-10 and the Bucks are 14-3.
  • Atlanta is 2-6 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS at home.
  • The Hawks have 6 overs and 2 unders in 8 road games.
  • In 7 home games, the Bucks have 5 overs and 2 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Atlanta and Milwaukee are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Hawks have 5 overs over their last five games, while the Bucks have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 112.0 points per game (3.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 125.8 points per game (7.7 above their season average).
  • The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 9.2 for the season.