Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets Betting Prediction

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The Atlanta Hawks (5-16), 12-point underdogs, will be at the Spectrum Center to meet the Charlotte Hornets (10-10) in a Southeast Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 233 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets Betting Odds

The Hornets won a close one over the Milwaukee Bucks in their last outing, 110-107, despite being 4.5-point underdogs. The Hawks, meanwhile, topped the Miami Heat, 115-113, but failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The Charlotte game went 16 points under the projected point total of 233, while the Atlanta game finished 1 point under the projected point total of 229.

Atlanta dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.338 (above their season average of 0.193) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.550 (above their season average of 0.507). For those same stats, Miami was 0.230 and 0.534, respectively. Charlotte, meanwhile, dominated nearly every stat category in their game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.259 (above their season average of 0.197) and a turnover percentage of 10.5 (better than their season average of 10.7). For those same stats, Milwaukee was 0.189 and 12.4, respectively. Jeremy Lamb had a solid performance for Charlotte, recording 21 points and eight rebounds. Trae Young, meanwhile fueled Atlanta with 17 points, 10 assists and five rebounds.

The Hawks evened the season series at one with a 124-123 victory in their most recent contest. John Collins put up a double-double in the victory with 23 points and 11 rebounds. Atlanta was lights out from beyond the arc (16-39; 41.0 percent). Charlotte, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (23-28; 82.1 percent). Atlanta covered as a 6.5-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 247 points, which was well over the projected point total of 229.

Oddsmakers tend to place the total low when the Hawks are playing, as 11 of their 20 games have finished over the projected point total. Atlanta heads into the contest with records of 5-16 straight up (SU) and 8-12 against the spread (ATS).

Hornets games have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Charlotte is 10-10 SU and 13-7 ATS.

Lamb has been playing at a high level as of late for Charlotte, averaging 18 points,7.2 rebounds over the last five games.

The high-octane offense of Charlotte (fourth in the league with an offensive efficiency of 111.0) will clash against the bottom-tier defense of Atlanta (23rd in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 109.5). The Hornets should have the advantage on that side of the ball. ,

Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hornets rank 17 in rebounds allowed per game (45.65) while the Hawks rank 27 (48.285714285714285).
  • Charlotte ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Atlanta ranks last (22.5).
  • The Hornets average 34.6 three pointers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 28th in three pointers allowed per game (34.5).
  • Charlotte ranks eighth in assists per game (24.8) while Atlanta ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.3).
  • Atlanta ranks 4 in fast break points per game (17.428571428571427) while Charlotte ranks 17 (11.8).
  • The Hornets rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Hawks rank 28th (10.0).
  • The Hornets rank 13 in second chance points per game (13.95) while the Hawks rank 29 in second chance points allowed per game (16.952380952380953).
  • Atlanta ranks 10 in points in the paint per game (49.23809523809524) while Charlotte ranks 19 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.4).
  • Atlanta ranks fifth in blocks per game (6.0) while Charlotte ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.6).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Charlotte is 2-0 and Atlanta is 0-2.
  • The Hornets are 10-9 when they score over 100 points, while the Hawks are 5-11.
  • Atlanta is 5-5 ATS on the road, while Charlotte is 7-3 ATS at home.
  • In 10 road games, the Hawks have 5 overs and 5 unders.
  • Of the Hornets’ 10 home games, they have 6 overs and 4 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Atlanta and Charlotte have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Hornets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 2-3.
  • The Hornets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.0, down from 4.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 112.4 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.2 points per game (1.9 above their season average).