Atlanta Falcons vs. Houston Texans – Free Week 5 Betting Prediction

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The Atlanta Falcons and Houston Texans are set to face off on the grass of NRG Stadium. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.

Betting Preview: Atlanta Falcons vs. Houston Texans

In this Sunday game, Houston is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 5 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to wager $200 to win $100 back on the Texans (-200). The Falcons are getting +170 moneyline odds. There will probably be some good in-game betting possibilities for this contest, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 48.5 points.

The early action has leaned to both the Texans and the under. The opening line was initially set at -4 while the O/U was originally 49.5.

The Falcons are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.5 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under mark of 1-3.

The Texans are down 0.9 units this season. The team is 2-2 ATS and also has an O/U record of 1-3.

The Falcons have gone 1-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Texans are 2-2 SU.

The Falcons are most-recently on the rebound after a 24-10 loss to Tennessee in Week 4 in which Matt Ryan completed 35-of-53 passes for 397 yards. Devonta Freeman (28 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the running attack. Austin Hooper (nine receptions, 130 yards) and Mohamed Sanu (nine catches, 91 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Houston just dropped a 16-10 game to Carolina a week ago. Deshaun Watson completed 21-of-33 passes for 160 yards. Carlos Hyde (58 rushing yards on 12 attempts) and Duke Johnson (56 yards on six carries) spearheaded the running game while DeAndre Hopkins (five receptions, 41 yards) and Hyde (four catches, six yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Atlanta’s run the ball on 28.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Houston has an overall rush percentage of 42.5 percent. The Falcons have run for 70.3 yards/game and have just a single touchdown on the ground this year. The Texans are totaling 120.3 rush yards per game and have four total rushing TDs.

The Falcons offense has logged 331.3 yards/contest through the air overall and has eight passing score so far. The Texans have recorded 234.5 pass yards per outing and have six total pass TDs.

Defensively, Atlanta should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents run for an average of 109.5 yards and pass for 222.5 yards per game. The Houston defense has allowed 283.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Texans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.46 to opponents, while the Falcons have given up a 7.17 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ryan is up to 1,021 passing yards this season, and has connected on 67 percent of his 142 attempts with five passing scores and five interceptions. Ryan has a 5.40 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.42 over the past two outings.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from Atlanta in this one. Austin Hooper (241 receiving yards on the year), Devonta Freeman (69 rush yards, 126 receiving yards) and Julio Jones (189 receiving yards, three TDs) have each played key roles recently.

In the host locker room, Deshaun Watson has completed 57-of-92 passes for 587 yards, three TDs and one INT. Watson’s ANY/A stands at 4.76 for the year and 7.00 across his past two games.

Kenny Stills, DeAndre Hopkins and Duke Johnson have collectively accounted for 323 total yards the last couple of outings.

Atlanta Falcons at Houston Texans Betting Pick

SU Winner: Falcons, ATS Winner: Falcons, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • Atlanta has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.1 over its last two.
  • Houston has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Both teams have lost two fumbles this year.
  • The Falcons offense has created one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Texans have accounted for two such plays.
  • Both defenses have allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Atlanta defense has given up four pass plays of 30+ yards while Houston has given up six such plays.
  • The Atlanta offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Houston has created five such runs.
  • The Falcons defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Texans have given up two such runs.
  • The Houston defense has notched 13 sacks on the year while Atlanta has just five.