The Atlanta Braves will face the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The game will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on both ATPT and FSSE.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Pittsburgh (-115) as the favorite over Atlanta (+105). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 8 runs and -105 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -200 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +170 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Pirates are 63-64 straight up (SU) and 60-66 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.8 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Braves are 70-55 SU and have gone 64-59 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 18.4 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Neither team has positioned itself as an obvious over/under bet this season. Pirates games have had an over/under record of 58-60-8 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 59-59-5.
Julio Teheran is getting the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Teheran is 8-7 with a 4.24 ERA and 124 strikeouts. This will be his first start against Pittsburgh this year. He did make two starts against the Pirates in 2017, posting a 0-0 record against them with a 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Pirates are handing the ball to righty Trevor Williams (10-9, 3.53 ERA), who has 86 strikeouts and 43 walks, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Williams only made one start against the Braves in 2017 (0-0, 3.86 ERA and nine strikeouts across seven innings).
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.56 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.17, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Braves hitters have slashed .261/.327/.426 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis have led Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .321/.404/.530 with 20 home runs, 77 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Markakis (.315/.376/.485) has produced 14 homers, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.09, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Pittsburgh’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 1.9 per game over its last 10 games and 1.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .224/.316/.321 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ batters have been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .307/.338/.480 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .274/.318/.461 with 17 homers, 57 RBIs, 63 runs and 28 stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 18.9 units and are 48-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 6.0 units and are 44-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 45 that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just two of Atlanta’s last seven contests.
- Atlanta fielders have two errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Pittsburgh over its last 10.
- The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit four over their last 10.
