Ozzie Albies and the Atlanta Braves will be taking on their NL East foe Miami Marlins at Marlins Park in a Saturday showdown. Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to showcase the action and the game will get underway at 6:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds
Las Vegas has Miami (+150) as the underdog to Atlanta (-160). You can play game’s total with current odds listed at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. This game currently has a runline of Braves -1.5 (-110) and Marlins +1.5 (-110).
The Braves have gone 16-16 SU this year and are 13-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 4.4 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 9-22 SU and 12-18 ATS. The team has lost 6.9 units for moneyline bettors and 10.4 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 12-17-1 so far in 2019. Braves games have gone over 16 times, gone under 13 times and pushed on two occasions.
Mike Soroka will get the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Soroka is 2-1 with a 1.62 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 1.93 ERA and seven strikeouts across four and two-third innings).
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Trevor Richards (0-4, 4.64 ERA), who’s got 31 punchouts and 18 walks as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Richards only made one start against the Braves in 2018 (0-0, 10.38 ERA and three strikeouts across four and 1-third innings).
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.68 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.76 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.36, along with a K/9 of 10.10.
The Braves offense has slashed .267/.353/.453 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led Atlanta’s hitters. Albies is slashing .289/.342/.496 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Freeman (.311/.425/.525) has produced six homers, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 4.34 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.29 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 10.7 K/9. In 17 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.73.
The Miami offense has put up 2.8 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .271/.342/.331 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is slashing .246/.333/.333 with 28 hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored, and Castro’s line is .231/.285/.314 with 28 hits, nine RBIs and 11 runs scored.
The Braves have lost 6.3 units and are 9-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.0 units and are 9-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve cashed the under.
Braves at Marlins Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- Atlanta has tallied 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has six XBH over its last five.
- Atlanta has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit five over their last 10.
- The Braves have a team OPS of .806 this season and an OPS of .778 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .620 overall and .618 versus righties.
