Ozzie Albies and the Atlanta Braves are paying a visit to Miami to face off against a divisional foe in the Marlins at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to broadcast the matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Atlanta (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite over Miami (+130) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Braves -1.5 (+105) and Marlins +1.5 (-125).
The Braves are 15-16 SU and have gone 13-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.8 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.4 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 9-21 SU and 12-18 ATS. The team has lost 6.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.4 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 12-17-1 thus far in 2019. The Braves have an over/under record of 15-13-2.
Right-hander Kevin Gausman is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Gausman is 1-2 with a 4.80 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are handing the ball to righty Jose Urena (1-4, 5.08 ERA), who has 25 strikeouts and nine walks as well as a 1.54 WHIP. Urena hasn’t faced the Braves yet this year, but he made four starts against them in 2018, putting together a 0-3 record with a 6.75 ERA.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.67 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.57, along with a WHIP of 1.36.
The Braves offense has slashed .266/.352/.452 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who have combined to belt 11 home runs. Albies is slashing .292/.348/.508 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Freeman (.308/.426/.504) is up to five homers, 18 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.23, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 5.27 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 10.7 K/9. In 16 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.66.
Miami’s hitters have produced 2.9 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .267/.324/.333 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins’ offense this year. Anderson is hitting .252/.336/.342 with 28 hits, seven RBIs and five runs scored, and Castro’s line is .239/.294/.325 with 28 hits, nine RBIs and 11 runs.
The Braves have lost 6.3 units and are 9-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.0 units and are 9-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
Braves vs. Marlins Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- Miami has posted 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit six over their last 10.
- The Braves have a team OPS of .804 this season and an OPS of .772 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .624 overall and .623 against righties.
