The Atlanta Braves will be taking on their division rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising the matchup and the opening pitch will be at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas is listing Miami (+170) as the underdog to Atlanta (-180). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 7.5 runs and -105 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Braves -1.5 runs (-125) and Marlins +1.5 runs (+105).
The Braves are 72-57 SU and are 66-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 0.7 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 53-78 SU and 67-63 ATS. The team’s lost 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.1 units ATS.
Marlins games have a 65-61-4 over/under record in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 59-63-5.
Right-hander Kevin Gausman is projected to start for Atlanta. Gausman is 8-9 with a 3.99 ERA and 121 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 3.09 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).
The Marlins will put the ball in the hands of Pablo Lopez (2-3, 4.42 ERA), who’s got 42 strikeouts and 13 walks this season as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Lopez is 0-1 with five strikeouts and an 8.44 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.48 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.12, along with a K-per-9 of 9.26.
The Braves offense has slashed .260/.326/.424 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .317/.400/.520 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 80 runs scored. Markakis has a .312 average with 14 homers, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.49 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.06 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 57 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.34.
The Miami offense has produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .212/.305/.321 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .285/.336/.401 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .279/.360/.405 with 10 homers, 56 RBIs and 70 runs.
The Marlins have gained 0.3 units and are 48-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
- Atlanta has recorded 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
