Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Betting Preview

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The Atlanta Braves are set to face their division rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds

Vegas has listed Atlanta (-160) as the favorite over Miami (+150). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds listed at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. The game’s current runline odds stand at -110 for betting the Braves -1.5 runs and -110 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Braves are 72-56 SU and are 66-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 21.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.0 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 52-78 SU and 66-63 ATS. They’ve lost 2.7 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 65-60-4 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 59-62-5.

Right-hander Anibal Sanchez is the projected starter for the visiting Braves. Sanchez is 6-4 with a 3.13 ERA and 98 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins are sending lefty Wei-Yin Chen (4-9, 5.20 ERA) to the mound. Chen has 75 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name, as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Chen is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 5.51 ERA over three starts against Atlanta this year.

Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.10, along with a K-per-9 of 9.24.

Braves hitters have slashed .260/.326/.425 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis continue to lead Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is hitting .316/.400/.521 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Markakis has a .312 average with 14 homers, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.53 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 56 games against NL East foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.39.

The Miami hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .253/.340/.412 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .285/.337/.402 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .277/.359/.398 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Braves have lost 0.6 units and are 16-21 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.5 units and are 47-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta has tallied 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Miami has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • Miami has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.0 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.