Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

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Ozzie Albies and the Atlanta Braves are ready to square off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in a Wednesday night game. Spectrum SportsNet LA is in line to televise this NL matchup and the game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Las Vegas has Los Angeles (-170) as the favorite over Atlanta (+160). The total currently stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can play the over for -120 or the under for even money (+100). There’s a runline of Braves +1.5 (-135) and Dodgers -1.5 (+115) for this matchup.

The Braves have gone 18-18 SU this year and are 16-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.3 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 2.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 24-14 SU and 14-23 ATS. They’ve gained 4.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 7.5 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Dodgers games have a 19-17-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Braves have an over/under record of 18-14-3.

Mike Foltynewicz is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz (0-1, 5.06 ERA) has recorded eight strikeouts in 10.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 7.20 ERA and eight strikeouts over five innings).

The Dodgers will turn to lefty Clayton Kershaw (1-0, 2.77 ERA), who has 27 strikeouts and five walks as well as a WHIP of 0.85. Kershaw only made one start against the Braves in 2018 (1-0, 1.17 ERA and eight strikeouts across seven and 2-third innings).

Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.56 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K-per-9 of 9.71.

The Braves offense has slashed .259/.342/.438 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Atlanta’s offense has been led by second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Albies is slashing .279/.327/.481 with seven home runs, 18 RBIs and 27 runs scored. Freeman has a .288 average with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

For the home team, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 3.44, a WHIP of 1.09 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.73 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .281/.363/.480 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the Dodgers’ hitters this year. Bellinger is hitting .403/.474/.806 with 14 home runs, 38 RBIs, 34 runs and six steals, while Turner’s line is .302/.391/.434 with four homers, 17 RBIs and 17 runs.

The Braves have gained 2.0 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to two that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Dodgers have netted 5.7 units and are 11-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, compared to 13 that went under.

Braves vs. Dodgers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
  • The Dodgers have won four of their last five games SU.
  • Atlanta has posted 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 outings.
  • The Braves have an OPS of .780 this season and an OPS of .815 against left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .809 overall and .774 against lefties.