Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

In the 2 game of their doubleheader, the Atlanta Braves are set to face off against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The game gets underway 7:40 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will broadcast this interleague matchup.

Atlanta Braves at Cleveland Indians Odds

Atlanta (receiving +155) is coming into this one as the underdog against Cleveland (-165) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at -110 for both the over and the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at -140 for picking the Braves +1.5 runs and +120 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 11-7 straight up (SU) and 8-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.8 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.9 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Braves have gone 9-9 SU this year and are 8-10 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.3 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 1.0 unit ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Indians games have an 8-10 over/under record so far in 2019. The Braves have an over/under record of 8-8-2.

The right-handed Touki Toussaint is the projected starter for the visiting Braves. Toussaint (1-0, 0.00 ERA) has racked up seven punchouts in six innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Indians are turning to righty Trevor Bauer (2-1, 2.05 ERA), who has 32 strikeouts and 11 walks, in addition to a 1.03 WHIP. Bauer did not record a start against the Braves in 2018.

Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 3.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.68, a WHIP of 1.14 and a K/9 of 9.2.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 3.5 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .221/.287/.319 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Carlos Santana and outfielder Leonys Martin have led the way for the Indians’ hitters so far. Santana is hitting .389/.515/.537 with 21 hits, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored, while Martin’s line is .258/.370/.468 with 16 hits, five RBIs and seven runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.91 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.13, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 9.86.

The Braves offense has slashed .263/.362/.447 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .324/.446/.500 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Albies (.289/.349/.434) is up to 22 hits, two homers, three RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Braves have lost 3.8 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to seven that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 3.0 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to nine which went under the total.

Braves at Indians Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • The Braves have a total OPS of .809 this season and an OPS of .760 against right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .607 overall and .601 versus righties.
  • Cleveland has posted 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.