The Atlanta Braves will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This NL matchup will get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the game.
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-125) is hosting this one as the favorite against Atlanta (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. The games current runline odds sit at -180 for picking the Braves +1.5 runs and +160 for the Brewers -1.5.
Each team has been good to bettors this year this year. The Brewers are 53-36 straight up (SU) and 48-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 16.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.1 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Braves are 50-38 SU and have gone 46-40 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 15.2 units for moneyline bettors and 3.9 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 37-48-3 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 43-39-4.
Sean Newcomb is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The southpaw Newcomb is 8-3 with a 3.10 ERA and 92 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers are handing the ball to righty Junior Guerra (5-5, 2.87 ERA), who’s got 88 strikeouts and 34 walks to his name, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Guerra did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.85, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.11, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 10.4.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .190/.256/.374 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Brewers hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .282/.358/.458 with 11 home runs, 35 RBIs, 54 runs and 10 steals, and Cain’s line sits at .291/.394/.438 with eight homers, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 steals.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.54 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.17, along with a K-per-9 of 9.13.
The Braves offense has slashed .259/.329/.423 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who have combined to blast 28 home runs. Markakis is slashing .324/.392/.494 with 10 home runs, 59 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Albies is slashing .282/.321/.516 with 18 homers, 50 RBIs, 69 runs and eight stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 12.3 units and are 34-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.8 units and are 7-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in five of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- Atlanta has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.6 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
