Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

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The Atlanta Braves are preparing to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals in a Sunday showdown. This NL showdown is going to be televised nationwide on ESPN2. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Atlanta (+120) is coming into this one as the underdog against St. Louis (-130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -125 for the under and +105 for the over. You can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -175 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +155 for the Cardinals -1.5.

The Braves have gone 29-24 SU this year and are 26-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.4 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 26-25 SU and 26-24 ATS. The team’s lost 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.1 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

St. Louis games have had an over/under record of 25-22-3 thus far in 2019. The Braves have an over/under record of 26-23-3.

Right-hander Julio Teheran is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Teheran (3-4, 3.67 ERA) has racked up 62 strikeouts in 61.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals are turning to Jack Flaherty (4-3, 4.19 ERA). Flaherty has 58 strikeouts and 20 walks, along with a 1.25 WHIP. Flaherty is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.65, a WHIP of 1.41 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

The St. Louis hitters have produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .238/.321/.421 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have led the charge for the Cardinals’ batters this year. DeJong is slashing .298/.392/.524 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs and 39 runs scored, and Goldschmidt’s line is .269/.360/.442 with 10 homers, 25 RBIs and 35 runs.

For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.21 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a K-per-9 of 9.59.

Braves hitters have slashed .260/.337/.441 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have paced Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .315/.406/.576 with 13 home runs, 32 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Albies is slashing .264/.322/.421 with seven homers, 23 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

The Braves have gained 1.2 units and are 21-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 1.6 units and are 23-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.

Braves at Cardinals Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of St. Louis’ last seven games.
  • The Braves have a total OPS of .778 this season and an OPS of .765 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .761 overall and .769 against righties.
  • St. Louis has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.4 over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 15 over their last 10.