Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Free Pick

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The New York Mets will play host to their NL East rival Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds

The Braves are 97-64 SU and have gone 79-81 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.4 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 1.6 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 85-76 SU and 83-77 ATS. They’ve lost 8.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.6 units ATS.

Mets games have an over/under record of 80-67-13 in 2019. Atlanta has an over/under record of 77-75-8.

Mike Soroka is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Soroka is 13-4 with a 2.60 ERA and 135 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.65 ERA against New York this year (two starts).

The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Noah Syndergaard (10-8, 4.30 ERA), who has 193 strikeouts and 48 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Syndergaard is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have a 3.84 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 75 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.60.

The New York offense has put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .242/.333/.441 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Mets’ hitters have been led by Amed Rosario, who is slashing .286/.323/.432 with 15 home runs, 72 RBIs, 75 runs and 19 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.19 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.17 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.20, along with a WHIP of 1.33.

The Braves offense has slashed .258/.339/.451 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Ozzie Albies has led Atlanta’s offense. Albies is slashing .298/.354/.504 with 24 home runs, 86 RBIs, 102 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Mets are coming off a 3-0 win in the prior game of the series.

Braves vs. Mets Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 16 over their last 10.
  • The Braves have a total OPS of .790 this season and an OPS of .792 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .770 overall and .765 versus righties.
  • Atlanta has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.
  • The Braves have lost four of their last five games SU while the Mets have taken four of their last five.