Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves are ready to take the field against their divisional foe New York Mets at Citi Field in a Saturday matinee. SportsNet New York will televise the action and the game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds
Las Vegas has New York (+105) as the underdog to Atlanta (-115). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to finish under 9 runs scored, then bookmakers are putting up -115 odds. Playing the over can return -105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Braves -1.5 (+130) and Mets +1.5 (-150).
The Mets are 37-46 straight up (SU) and 38-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.0 units for moneyline bettors and 13.1 units ATS. The Braves are 49-34 SU and have gone 40-42 against the spread. Overall, the club has accumulated 9.7 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 0.3 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 45-29-8 so far in 2019. The Braves have also been a decent over bet with a total record of 45-32-5.
Right-hander Julio Teheran is projected to start for Atlanta. Teheran is 5-6 with a 3.94 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.30 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets will turn to lefty Steven Matz (5-6, 4.85 ERA), who has 75 strikeouts and 29 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.46. Matz is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 5.73 ERA across two starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.61 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.91 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.75, along with a WHIP of 1.37.
The Braves offense has slashed .263/.340/.459 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have led Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is hitting .315/.402/.599 with 22 home runs, 63 RBIs and 62 runs scored. Acuna Jr. (.286/.370/.498) has produced 19 homers, 51 RBIs, 59 runs and 12 steals.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.37, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 5.69 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 39 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.82.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .276/.327/.470 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso. McNeil is hitting .341/.406/.500 with six home runs, 30 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Alonso’s line is .280/.368/.633 with 28 homers, 62 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 5.0 units and are 9-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to five that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 12.3 units and are 28-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve cashed the under.
Braves vs. Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in just two of Atlanta’s last seven games.
- The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.
- New York has posted 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.6 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 19 over their last 10.
- The Braves have an OPS of .799 this season and an OPS of .796 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS sits at .760 overall and .818 against southpaws.
