The Atlanta Braves will be taking the field against their divisional rival Miami Marlins in a Saturday showdown. Fox SportsNet Florida will televise the matchup and the game will get going at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds
Atlanta (-145) is favored over Miami (+135) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at +110 for the over and -130 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Braves -1.5 runs (+100) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-120).
The Marlins are only 23-38 straight up (SU) and 28-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.7 units for moneyline bettors and 11.8 units ATS. The Braves have gone 34-29 SU this year and are 30-32 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 0.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.4 units ATS.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 27-31-2 so far in 2019. Atlanta has been a decent over bet with a total record of 32-25-5.
Julio Teheran will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Teheran is 3-4 with a 3.28 ERA and 69 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are countering with Trevor Richards (3-5, 3.53 ERA). Richards has 63 strikeouts and 30 walks, along with a 1.24 WHIP. Richards is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.00, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 29 games against NL East foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.40.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .283/.340/.478 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .246/.328/.390 with seven home runs, 27 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Castro’s line is .234/.268/.318 with four homers, 26 RBIs and 19 runs.
For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.31 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.11 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.32, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K/9 of 9.54.
The Braves offense has slashed .259/.334/.440 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have paced Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .311/.401/.598 with 17 home runs, 41 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Acuna Jr. (.286/.370/.485) is up to 13 homers, 38 RBIs, 39 runs and eight stolen bases.
The Braves have lost 5.5 units and are 22-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.8 units and are 18-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve cashed the under.
Braves at Marlins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in six of Atlanta’s last seven contests.
- The Braves have a team OPS of .774 this season and an OPS of .757 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .647 overall and .651 versus righties.
- Miami has recorded 26.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.
- The Braves have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
