Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans Betting Prediction 01/25/20

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (14-7, 6-4 SBC) will be at Trojan Arena to meet the Troy Trojans (8-13, 4-6 SBC) in a SBC matchup. The game starts at 5:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 25, 2020.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans ATS Odds

In their last contest, the Trojans lost big to the Little Rock Trojans, 81-63, while the Red Wolves beat the South Alabama Jaguars, 75-71.

Arkansas State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over South Alabama. The Red Wolves had a rate of 0.614 (above their season average of 0.490), while the Jaguars posted a mark of 0.534. Troy, on the other hand, held Little Rock to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.1 (below their season average of 32.7). Nick Stampley was a key piece for Troy with eight points and 10 rebounds. Arkansas State received a boost from Christian Willis, who contributed 17 points and six assists.

In their first matchup this season, Eaton led the Red Wolves to a 76-68 win. He scored a game-high 24 points. One of Arkansas State’s biggest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 38 free throw attempts, while Troy had just 11.

It will be a showdown of conflicting paces as the fast-paced Trojans will look to push the more methodical Red Wolves. The Trojans currently rank 95th in possessions per game while the Red Wolves are 273rd. Also, the Red Wolves are among the NCAA’s best at getting to the line, ranking first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.344). The Trojans, meanhwile, rank 279th at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.261.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans Betting Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Troy, ATS Winner – Troy, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Troy ranks 49th in three pointers attempted per game (25.7) while Arkansas State ranks 285th (16.4).
  • The Red Wolves rank first in blocks allowed per game (1.8) while the Trojans rank 88th (3.3).
  • Arkansas State averages 7.1 steals per game, which ranks 86th in the country. Troy ranks 148th in steals allowed per game (7.0).
  • The Red Wolves rank 65th in rebounds allowed per game (33.0) while the Trojans rank 236th (38.7).
  • Troy ranks 63rd in assists per game (14.6) while Arkansas State ranks 173rd in assists allowed per game (13.5).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Red Wolves have been outscored by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Arkansas State has defeated opponents by an average of 0.1 points.
  • During their last five games, the Trojans have scored an average of 69.6 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 75.0 points per game (3.8 above their season average).