The Arkansas State Red Wolves (12-15, 6-8 SBC) will be at GSU Sports Arena to take on the Georgia State Panthers (19-9, 10-5 SBC) in a SBC matchup. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 28, 2019.
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia State Panthers ATS Odds
In their last outing, the Panthers fell to the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 95-82, while the Red Wolves defeated the Little Rock Trojans, 72-65.
Arkansas State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.551 (above their season average of 0.283) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.4 (above their season average of 33.5). For those same stats, Little Rock was 0.255 and 24.3, respectively. Georgia State, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (11.4 vs. 16.3). D’Marcus Simonds had a good outing for Georgia State with 31 points. Grantham Gillard played well for Arkansas State, contributing 18 points and 12 rebounds.
The Panthers dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last contest, Georgia State won 77-66. Georgia State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.654 vs. 0.393). Arkansas State, on the other hand, had a much better free throw rate (0.295 vs. 0.173). This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.
The productive offense of Georgia State will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Arkansas State. The Panthers rank 76th in offensive efficiency, while the Red Wolves are 285th in defensive efficiency. The Panthers should have the edge on that end of the court. Additionally, the Red Wolves, who rank 43rd in offensive rebounding percentage (33.6 percent), will square off against the Panthers, who rank 337th in defensive rebounding percentage (66.2 percent).
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Georgia State Panthers Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Arkansas State averages 38.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 41st in the NCAA. Georgia State ranks 266th in rebounds allowed per game (38.6).
- The Panthers rank 34th in steals per game (7.8) while the Red Wolves rank 139th (6.2).
- Georgia State blocks 4.8 opponent shots per game, which is ranked 20th in the country. Arkansas State ranks 114th in blocks allowed per game (3.4).
- The Red Wolves rank 109th in three pointers allowed per game (21.5) while the Panthers rank 280th (27.4).
- Arkansas State ranks 120th in assists allowed per game (12.8) while Georgia State ranks 234th (15.3).
Bettings Trends:
- The Panthers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.0, up from 2.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Red Wolves have scored an average of 74.0 points per game (0.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 76.4 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
