Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia Bulldogs – 9/14/2019 Free Pick

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves and No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs are ready to go at it on the grass at Sanford Stadium. Interested parties can catch the action live on ESPN2 and this critical afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia Bulldogs

Arkansas State is the noticeable underdog here and is currently getting 34 points by oddsmakers. If the Dawgs get down early it’ll result in a reasonable live betting scenario. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 57.5 points.

Betting odds have swayed a bit from where they were first posted. The line opened at -34 and the game’s total was initially set at 57.

The Red Wolves have lost 0.1 units so far and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 1-1.

The Bulldogs have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-1.

The Red Wolves have gone 1-1 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bulldogs are 2-0 SU.

The Red Wolves want to make it two in a row 43-17 victory over UNLV last week where Logan Bonner completed 22-of-37 passes for 284 yards and two touchdowns. Ryan Graham (103 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and Isaiah Azubuike (25 yards on 11 carries) led the ground attack while Omar Bayless (six receptions, 149 yards, one TD) and Brandon Bowling (five catches, 40 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Georgia just picked up a 63-17 win over Murray State. As a group, the Dawgs collectively completed 20-of-25 passes for 292 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Stetson Bennett went nine-for-13 for 124 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Jake Fromm was 10-of-11 for 166 yards and one touchdown. Kenny McIntosh (61 rushing yards on nine attempts) and Zamir White (72 yards on eight carries, one TD) handled the running game while Eli Wolf (four receptions, 73 yards) and George Pickens (four catches, 78 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Arkansas State has run the ball on 43.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia has a rush percentage of 62.5 percent. The Red Wolves have rushed for 152 yards per game and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Dawgs are averaging 297 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.

If 2019 numbers are any indication, then the Dawgs ought to hold an edge in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, as their backfield has generated 7.4 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 2.4 to opponents. The Red Wolves have tallied 4.5 yards per carry while allowing 3.9 YPC to opponents.

The Red Wolves offensive scheme has logged 304 yards/contest in the air overall and has six passing TDs so far. The Dawgs have produced 224 pass yards per outing and have four total pass scores.

Defensively, Arkansas State has allowed 168 rush yards and 236 pass yards per game. The Georgia defense has allowed 185 yards per game to opposing passers and 69.5 yards per game on the ground. The Dawgs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.7 to opponents, while the Red Wolves have given up a 4.33 ANY/A.

Fromm probably has the edge over Bonner in this matchup. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 14.75 for the season and 10.09 over his last two outings while Bonner’s ANY/A is 8.76 and 7.44 over the past two games.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Georgia Bulldogs Bedding Prediction

SU Winner: Georgia, ATS Winner: Arkansas State, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • Both teams have lost two fumbles this season.
  • The Red Wolves offense has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bulldogs have put up one such play.
  • The Arkansas State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia has given up two such plays.
  • The Arkansas State offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Georgia has created four such runs.
  • The Red Wolves defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Bulldogs have given up two such runs.
  • The Georgia D has sacked opposing QBs eight times this season. Arkansas State has recorded seven sacks.