The Florida Gators (17-14, 9-9 SEC) will be 3-point favorites in the Southeastern Conference Tourney at Bridgestone Arena when they meet the Arkansas Razorbacks (17-14, 8-10 SEC). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 134.5 points and it can be seen on SEC Network at 1 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 14, 2019.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators Betting Odds
In their last contest, the Razorbacks (4-point favorites) covered in an 82-70 victory over the Alabama Crimson Tide. The Gators were defeated by the sixth-ranked Kentucky Wildcats, 66-57, but did cover as 10.5-point underdogs. The Arkansas game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 146.5, while the Florida game went 4.5 points under the projected point total of 127.5.
Arkansas played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 16.2) and a free throw rate of 0.231 (matching their season average). Alabama was 18.6 and 0.175, respectively, for those same stats. Florida, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 15.5). Florida was led by Kevarrius Hayes, who recorded 19 points and five rebounds. Meanwhile, Daniel Gafford had a solid performance for Arkansas, finishing with 29 points and 16 rebounds.
Razorbacks games have typically finished under the total (67.7 percent). Arkansas holds records of 17-14 straight up (SU) and 14-17 against the spread (ATS).
Much like Arkansas, games involving the Gators also have typically gone under the total (67.7 percent). Moreover, Florida is 17-14 SU and 13-18 ATS.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Florida. Florida ranks 113th in the country in ball protection (turnover percentage of 17.8 percent), while the disruptive defense of Arkansas forces the 12th-most turnovers in the nation (23.4 percent). It will also be a matchup of contrasting tempos as the fast-paced Razorbacks rank 41st in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Gators rank 338th.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Arkansas ranks 21st in assists per game (16.2) while Florida ranks 202nd (12.3).
- The Razorbacks rank 20th in steals per game (8.3) while the Gators rank 83rd in steals allowed per game (5.8).
- Arkansas ranks 13th in blocks per game (4.9) while Florida ranks 72nd (3.8).
- The Gators rank 58th in three pointers allowed per game (20.0) while the Razorbacks rank 229th (24.0).
- Florida ranks 141st in rebounds allowed per game (34.7) while Arkansas ranks 259th (38.2).
Bettings Trends:
- The Razorbacks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Gators are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Arkansas has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Florida has 4 unders and 1 over.
- During their last five games, the Razorbacks have scored an average of 77.2 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.6 points per game (3.2 below their season average).
- The Gators’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 4.5 for the season.
