Arkansas Razorbacks at Ole Miss Rebels Free Prediction 01/11/20

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The Arkansas Razorbacks (12-2, 1-1 SEC) will be at The Pavilion at Ole Miss to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (9-5, 0-1 SEC) in a SEC matchup. Action gets underway at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 11, 2020, and can be seen on SEC Network.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Ole Miss Rebels Betting Odds

Both teams fell in their last matchup. The Rebels fell to the Texas A&M Aggies, 57-47, while the Razorbacks lost a winnable game to the LSU Tigers, 79-77.

Arkansas had a turnover percentage of 9.6 (better than their season average of 16.4) while Ole Miss had a better turnover percentage (13.7 vs. 17.6). Breein Tyree had a good game for Ole Miss with 26 points. Mason Jones played well for Arkansas, finishing with 24 points and five rebounds.

This series was highly contested last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the most recent contest, the Razorbacks won 74-73. Arkansas’ 0.224 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Ole Miss, who had a rate of 0.167. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

The Razorbacks’ Jones has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 21 points,7.2 rebounds,3.6 assists,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Devontae Shuler has averaged 14 points,5.6 assists,1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Rebels.

The offense of Ole Miss (202nd in the country with an offensive efficiency of 101.6) will battle against the elite defense of Arkansas (eighth in the NCAA with a defensive efficiency of 84.8). The Razorbacks should have the edge on that end of the court. Furthermore, put-back points figure to be rare for the Razorbacks. They rank 332nd in the country in offensive rebounding percentage at 21.4 percent, while the Rebels are 48th-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 75.7 percent).

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Ole Miss Rebels Betting Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Ole Miss, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Ole Miss ranks 44th in assists per game (15.6) while Arkansas ranks 162nd (12.6).
  • The Rebels average 35.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 157th in the NCAA. The Razorbacks rank 215th in rebounds allowed per game (38.2).
  • Arkansas is 23rd in the country with 17.7 three pointers allowed per game while Ole Miss is 43rd with 18.9 three pointers allowed per game.
  • The Razorbacks rank 31st in blocks per game (4.9) while the Rebels rank 137th (2.7).
  • Arkansas averages 9.5 steals per game, which ranks 16th in the NCAA. Ole Miss ranks 116th in steals allowed per game (6.7).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Razorbacks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.6, down from 13.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Rebels have scored an average of 69.2 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.8 points per game (1.6 above their season average).