The Arizona State Sun Devils and No. 18 Michigan State Spartans are ready to face off on the grass at Spartan Stadium. The key afternoon game kicks off at 4:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on FOX.
Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Michigan State Spartans
In this Saturday game, Michigan State has been projected as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 14 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently have to put down $600 to win $100 back on the Spartans (-600). The Sun Devils are getting +425 moneyline odds. There could be some solid in-game betting opportunities for the match, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 45 points.
This game’s total has yet to move after being set initially at 45. Having said that, the line opened at -11 so the sharp action is siding with the Spartans.
The Sun Devils are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 0-2.
The Spartans are up 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-1.
The Sun Devils are 2-0 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Spartans are also 2-0 SU.
The Sun Devils are looking to stay unbeaten after a 19-7 victory over Sacramento State last week where Jayden Daniels completed 17-of-27 passes for 304 yards and one touchdown. Eno Benjamin (69 rushing yards on 24 attempts) spearheaded the ground attack. Brandon Aiyuk (four receptions, 98 yards) and Benjamin (four catches, 94 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.
The Michigan State Spartans just earned a lopsided 51-17 win over Western Michigan. The defensive secondary let the Broncos air it out for 285 yards and two touchdowns. Keith Mixon Jr. was a bright spot in the defeat for Western Michigan, posting 71 yards on four catches. For Michigan State, Brian Lewerke completed 23-of-32 passes for 314 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Elijah Collins (192 yards on 17 rush attempts) spearheaded the running game as Darrell Stewart Jr. (10 receptions, 185 yards, one TD) and Cody White (five catches, 63 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Arizona State has run the ball on 62.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Michigan State has an overall rush percentage of 51 percent. The Sun Devils have produced 131 rush yards per game and have just a single score on the ground this year. The Spartans are averaging 179.5 rushing yards per game and have three total rush TDs.
If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Spartans ought to hold an advantage in terms of RB efficiency. Their running backs has generated 4.9 yards per carry while the defense has allowed -0.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Sun Devils have ran for 3.1 yards per carry while allowing 2.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Sun Devils offensive scheme has averaged 294 yards in the air overall and has three passing TD so far. The Spartans have recorded 263 pass yards per contest and have four total pass scores.
Arizona State seems to have an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 81 yards and pass for 171.5 yards per game. The Michigan State defense has allowed 219 yards per game to opposing passers and -3.0 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Sun Devils have given up an ANY/A of 3.67 to opposing QBs, while the Spartans are allowing an ANY/A of 3.99.
Daniels has been more effective than Lewerke of late, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 11.43for the season and 10.88 over his last two outings. Lewerke’s ANY/A is 10.28 for the year and 7.63 across his last two games.
These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 16-13 win for Arizona State.
Arizona State Sun Devils at Michigan State Spartans NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Michigan State, ATS Winner: Michigan State, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- The O/U for Arizona State’s last game was 63.5. The under cashed in the team’s 19-7 win over Sacramento State.
- The Michigan State offense has lost one fumble this season while Arizona State has let two get away.
- The Over/Under for Michigan State’s last outing going into it was 46. The over cashed in the 51-17 victory over Western Michigan.
- The Sun Devils offense has registered five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Spartans have put up one such play.
- Both teams have allowed one pass play of 40+ yards. The Arizona State defense has given up one pass play of 30+ yards while Michigan State has yielded two such plays.
- The Arizona State offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Michigan State has created three such run.
- Both defenses have allowed one rushing play of 20 yards or more. The Sun Devils have given up four running play of 10+ yards while the Spartans have given up one such plays.
- The Michigan State defensive unit has produced nine sacks on the year while Arizona State has six.
