The No. 11 Arizona State Sun Devils (23-10), 4.5-point underdogs, take on the No. 6 Buffalo Bulls (31-3) in the First Round of the NCAA Tournament at Bank of Oklahoma Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 157 points and action gets underway at 4 p.m. ET on Friday, March 22, 2019.
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Buffalo Bulls ATS Odds
Both teams beat their last opponent. The Bulls defeated the Bowling Green Falcons 87-73, while the Sun Devils beat the No. 11 St. John’s Red Storm 74-65.
The Sun Devils knocked down 25 of their 33 free throws (75.8 percent) and held the Red Storm to an effective field goal percentage of 0.377 (below their season average of 0.523). The Bulls, meanwhile, made 16 of their 21 free throws (76.2 percent) and held the Falcons to an effective field goal percentage of 0.444 (below their season average of 0.509). Jeremy Harris had a good outing for Buffalo, contributing 31 points and five rebounds. Arizona State was led by Zylan Cheatham, who had 14 points and 10 rebounds.
Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Sun Devils are involved, as 60.6 percent of their contests have finished under the total. Arizona State heads into the contest with records of 23-10 straight up (SU) and 18-14-1 against the spread (ATS).
There does not appear to be a trend for Bulls games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Buffalo is 31-3 SU and 18-13-1 ATS.
There should be plenty of transition offense in this contest that showcases two of the NCAA’s more up-tempo teams. Buffalo ranks 17th in possessions per game (74.1) and Arizona State is 43rd (72.5).
Arizona State vs. Buffalo ATS Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Buffalo, ATS Winner – Arizona State, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Buffalo ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (28.5) while Arizona State ranks 278th in three pointers allowed per game (25.7).
- The Bulls rank 30th in steals allowed per game (5.1) while the Sun Devils rank 156th (6.5).
- Buffalo blocks 4.1 opponent shots per game, which ranks 68th in the NCAA. Arizona State ranks 129th in blocks allowed per game (3.4).
- The Sun Devils average 40.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the nation. The Bulls rank 248th in rebounds allowed per game (37.1).
- Buffalo averages 16.9 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the NCAA. Arizona State ranks 156th in assists allowed per game (13.2).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 84.0 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.4 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
- The Sun Devils’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, up from 4.7 for the season.
