Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at PNC Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on ATPT and FSAZ.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Arizona (+120) is entering this one as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-130) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-175) and Pirates -1.5 runs (+155).

The Diamondbacks are 12-11 SU and have gone 15-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.5 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 6.8 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 12-8 SU and 12-7 ATS. They’ve gained 6.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.9 units ATS.

Pirates games have had an over/under record of 7-12 so far in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 11-9-2.

The right-handed Luke Weaver is getting the start for the visiting D-backs. Weaver is 1-1 with a 3.92 ERA and 24 strikeouts. This is his first start against Pittsburgh this year. He made two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-1 record with a 6.75 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The Pirates are turning to righty Trevor Williams (1-0, 2.59 ERA), who has 17 strikeouts and five walks, in addition to a WHIP of 1.03. Williams made two starts against the Diamondbacks in 2018, compiling a 0-2 record with a 6.00 ERA.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 3.5 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 2.24 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 11.4 K/9.

The Pittsburgh offense has put up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .201/.283/.329 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Pirates’ offense has been led by Josh Bell, who is hitting .300/.386/.600 with four home runs, 16 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

For the visitors, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.75 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.21 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.67, along with a K/9 of 8.89.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .271/.335/.470 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

David Peralta has led Arizona’s offense and is hitting .340/.379/.567 with three home runs, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks are coming off a 12-4 victory in the prior game of this series.

Diamondbacks at Pirates Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in six of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have a team OPS of .805 this season and an OPS of .772 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .675 overall and .707 against righties.
  • Pittsburgh has posted 17.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.2 over its last five.