Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins Matchup

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will be squaring off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. This NL matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Odds

The Marlins are 41-37 against the spread (ATS), but only 32-47 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 0.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.6 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Diamondbacks are 44-34 SU and have gone 42-35 ATS. In total, the teams gained 11.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.7 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 41-37 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 37-36-4.

Right-hander Zack Godley is getting the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Godley is 8-5 with a 4.64 ERA and 83 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will turn to Elieser Hernandez (0-4, 5.12 ERA) to the mound. Hernandez has 14 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a 1.55 WHIP. Hernandez is 0-1 with a 15.00 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.

Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.82, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.92 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

Miami’s hitters have produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .299/.352/.451 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the Marlins hitters this year. Anderson is hitting .296/.370/.418 with four home runs, 38 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Castro’s line is .270/.316/.368 with three homers, 28 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.15 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.56, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 7.85.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .226/.306/.399 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been paced by left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who collectively have belted 32 home runs. Peralta is slashing .278/.343/.509 with 15 home runs, 43 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Goldschmidt is hitting .264/.374/.525 with 17 homers, 41 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 2.8 units and are 26-30 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Arizona has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • Miami has posted 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.2 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.