Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

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Eduardo Escobar and the Arizona Diamondbacks are heading east to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this NL matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-135) is the favorite over Arizona (+125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. There’s a runline of Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170) and Phillies -1.5 (+150) for this matchup.

The Phillies are 37-28 straight up (SU) and 34-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 3.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have gone 34-32 SU this year and are 39-26 against the spread. In total, the club has accumulated 3.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.6 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Phillies games have had an over/under record of 29-33-2 so far in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 30-32-3.

Taylor Clarke will get the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Clarke is 1-2 with a 4.43 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Phillies are turning to righty Jerad Eickhoff (3-3, 4.14 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 15 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Eickhoff did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2018.

Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 8.81.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .257/.323/.450 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been led by Eduardo Escobar and Ketel Marte, who’ve collectively blasted 30 home runs. Escobar is hitting .289/.349/.563 with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs and 41 runs scored. Marte (.268/.320/.513) has produced 15 homers, 45 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.18, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .246/.296/.455 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Phillies’ offense has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Segura is hitting .293/.342/.455 with five home runs, 26 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .274/.336/.439 with six homers, 29 RBIs and 29 runs.

The Diamondbacks have gained 2.8 units and are 26-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 13.4 units and are 26-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve cashed the under.

Diamondbacks at Phillies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Arizona has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has 19 XBH over its last five.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • The Diamondbacks have an OPS of .773 this season and an OPS of .725 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .737 overall and .725 against righties.