Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are ready to face off against the Atlanta Braves in a Thursday night game. This NL matchup will begin at 12:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Odds

The Braves are 9-8 straight up (SU) and 8-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.0 unit ATS. The Diamondbacks are 9-9 SU and have gone 11-6 ATS. Overall, the club has gained 0.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 4.2 units ATS.

Braves games have an over/under record of 8-6-2 so far in 2019. The Diamondbacks have been a decent over bet with a total record of 11-4-2.

Luke Weaver will get the nod for Arizona. The right-handed Weaver is 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 15.43 ERA and five strikeouts across 4.2 innings).

The Braves are sending Mike Soroka to the mound. This game represents the first MLB start of the season for the righty Soroka.

Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.17 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

The Atlanta offense has put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .276/.376/.476 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Braves’ hitters have been led by second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Albies is hitting .310/.372/.465 with 22 hits, three RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Freeman’s line is .323/.443/.462 with 21 hits, eight RBIs and 15 runs.

For the visiting squad, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.19 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.32 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.64, along with a K-per-9 of 8.75.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .269/.333/.473 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been led by outfielders David Peralta and Adam Jones. Peralta is hitting .365/.413/.568 with 27 hits, 10 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Jones is slashing .319/.388/.611 with 23 hits, five homers, 12 RBIs and 10 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 3.8 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have lost 0.5 units and are 5-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, as opposed to five which went under the total.

Diamondbacks at Braves Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Arizona’s last seven games.
  • The Diamondbacks have a total OPS of .806 this season and an OPS of .756 against right-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .823 overall and .776 against righties.
  • Atlanta has posted 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.4 over its last five.
  • The Diamondbacks have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.