The Alabama State Hornets (7-20, 7-8 SWAC) will travel to Health & PE Center to clash against the Texas Southern Tigers (9-19, 9-6 SWAC) in their home finale. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 26, 2018.
Alabama State Hornets at Texas Southern Tigers ATS Preview
The Hornets were beaten by the Prairie View A&M Panthers in their last game, 80-74. Alabama State’s Branden Johnson put together a solid performance, putting up 16 points and 17 rebounds. Prairie View A&M had a turnover percentage of 7.4 (better than their season average of 16.7). Alabama State, meanwhile, held the Panthers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.5 (below their season average of 32.2).
In the Tigers’ last matchup, they thoroughly outplayed the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, 106-71. Demontrae Jefferson was a key piece for Texas Southern with 28 points, 10 assists and five rebounds. Texas Southern dominated every facet of the game. They had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 16.2) and a free throw rate of 0.190 (matching their season average). Alabama A&M recorded marks of 16.5 and 0.086, respectively, for those same stats.
The aggressive Texas Southern offense looks poised to dominate from the foul line. The Tigers currently rank 21st in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.296, while Alabama State ranks 342nd in FTA rate allowed (0.319).
Donte Clark has taken his game to another level over the last five games for Texas Southern, averaging 20.8 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1.8 steals per game.
These teams have already met once this season. The Tigers won 97-82. The Tigers played a nearly perfect game. They had an extraordinary free throw rate of 0.643 and a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 47.1. For those same stats, the Hornets put up marks of 0.169 and 38.6, respectively. Marquis Salmon put up a double-double in the victory with 17 points and 14 rebounds.
Alabama State Hornets vs. Texas Southern Tigers Odds Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Texas Southern, ATS Winner – Texas Southern, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Hornets average 3.9 blocks per game, which ranks 79th in the nation. The Tigers rank 165th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
- Alabama State ranks 116th in rebounds per game (36.1) while Texas Southern ranks 259th in rebounds allowed per game (38.0).
- The Tigers rank 42nd in steals allowed per game (5.3) while the Hornets rank 161st (6.7).
- Alabama State ranks 154th in assists allowed per game (13.7) while Texas Southern ranks 257th (16.0).
Bettings Trends:
- The Tigers have outscored opponents by an average of 4.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Texas Southern has been defeated by an average of 5.0 points.
- During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 71.4 points per game (2.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 64.4 points per game (14.3 below their season average).
