Alabama State Hornets at VCU Rams Free Prediction 11/25/19

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The 21st-ranked VCU Rams (5-0) look to extend their hot start when they square off against the winless Alabama State Hornets (0-4) at Stuart Siegel Center. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019.

Alabama State Hornets at VCU Rams ATS Odds

In their last game, the Rams won big over the FGCU Eagles, 78-48, while the Hornets were blown out by the 20th-ranked Tennessee Volunteers, 76-41.

VCU played a nearly flawless game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 20.4) and a free throw rate of 0.171 (matching their season average). FGCU was 34.3 and 0.060, respectively, for those same stats. Alabama State, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.180 vs. 0.271). Marcus Santos-Silva had a good game for VCU, contributing nine points and 11 rebounds. Tobi Ewuosho played a key role for Alabama State with 17 points and five rebounds.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, VCU figures to have a noteworthy advantage. Since last season, the Rams defense ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.438), while the Alabama State offense ranks 340th in effective field goal percentage (0.460). It could also be a mistake-prone game for the offense of the Hornets, which ranks 322nd in ball security (turnover percentage of 21.6 percent). They’ll be going up against the stingy defense of the Rams, which has forced the sixth-most turnovers in the NCAA (24.5 percent).

Alabama State at VCU Free Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – VCU, ATS Winner – VCU, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • VCU ranks 18th in steals per game (8.6) while Alabama State ranks 243rd in steals allowed per game (7.3).
  • The Rams average 36.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 119th in the country. The Hornets rank 268th in rebounds allowed per game (37.3).
  • VCU ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (18.5) while Alabama State ranks 78th (20.6).
  • The Rams rank 25th in assists allowed per game (10.7) while the Hornets rank 230th (14.2).
  • VCU ranks 17th in blocks per game (4.9) while Alabama State ranks 173rd (3.0).