Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Free Prediction 02/12/19

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (15-8, 6-4 SEC) will be at Humphrey Coliseum to go head-to-head with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-7, 4-6 SEC) in a SEC matchup. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019, and will air on SEC Network.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Odds

In their last matchup, the Bulldogs fell to the fifth-ranked Kentucky Wildcats, 71-67, while the Crimson Tide beat the Vanderbilt Commodores, 77-67.

The Crimson Tide held the Commodores to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.9 (below their season average of 28.6) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.508 vs. 0.481). Mississippi State, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (14-18; 77.8 percent). Lamar Peters had a good game for Mississippi State, contributing 16 points. Alabama received a boost from Riley Norris, who had 15 points and 12 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Donta Hall led the Crimson Tide to an 83-79 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 19 points. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Alabama’s biggest advantages. They made 36 trips to the line, while Mississippi State went 22 times.

Mississippi State appears to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Bulldogs currently rank 36th in offensive efficiency, while the Crimson Tide rank 186th in defensive efficiency.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Mississippi State, ATS Winner – Mississippi State, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Mississippi State ranks 29th in steals per game (8.0) while Alabama ranks 234th (4.4).
  • The Crimson Tide rank 38th in assists allowed per game (11.2) while the Bulldogs rank 75th (12.1).
  • Alabama is 37th in the NCAA with 19.3 three pointers allowed per game while Mississippi State is 59th with 20.3 three pointers allowed per game.
  • The Bulldogs rank 10th in blocks per game (5.2) while the Crimson Tide rank 159th in blocks allowed per game (4.1).
  • Alabama ranks 37th in rebounds per game (38.7) while Mississippi State ranks 124th (36.1).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 81.4 points per game (2.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 81.0 points per game (9.7 above their season average).
  • The Crimson Tide’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 3.7 for the season.