Alabama A&M Bulldogs at Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Betting Prediction 02/10/20

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The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (2-21, 1-9 SWAC) and the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (6-15, 3-7 SWAC) square off at Harrison Complex. The Delta Devils are 4-point underdogs and look to put an end to their seven-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 151.5 points and it gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Betting Odds

In the Bulldogs’ last outing, they beat the UAPB Golden Lions, 58-54, covering as 1.5-point favorites. The Delta Devils, meanwhile, were beaten by the Alabama State Hornets, 87-74, and were unable to cover as 8-point underdogs. The Alabama A&M game finished 9.5 points under the projected point total of 121.5, while the Mississippi Valley State game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 150.5.

The Bulldogs had an absurd free throw rate of 0.500 (above their season average of 0.193) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.475 (above their season average of 0.425). Mississippi Valley State, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 8.2 (better than their season average of 16.0). Mississippi Valley State’s Quinton Alston played well, putting up 22 points, 10 rebounds and five steals. Alabama A&M, meanwhile, received a boost from Cameron Alford, who had 15 points and 10 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Caleb Hunter led the Delta Devils to a 72-66 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 19 points. Mississippi Valley State covered as a 14-point underdog and the two teams combined for 138 points, which was well under the projected point total of 154.5. The Delta Devils’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Bulldogs. Mississippi Valley State had a rate of 11.1, while Alabama A&M posted a mark of 14.6.

Of the Bulldogs’ 21 games, 12 have finished under the total. Although Alabama A&M has a difficult time winning games straight up (6-15 SU), they have a solid 12-8-1 record against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Alabama A&M, games involving the Delta Devils tend to go over the projected point total (59.1 percent). Additionally, Mississippi Valley State is 2-21 SU and 9-13 ATS.

It will be a showdown of contrasting paces as the fast-breaking Delta Devils will look to push the more methodical Bulldogs. The Delta Devils rank first in possessions per game while the Bulldogs are 189th.

Alabama A&M at Mississippi Valley State ATS Pick

Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Alabama A&m, ATS Winner – Alabama A&M, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Mississippi Valley State ranks 16th in three pointers attempted per game (27.7) while Alabama A&M ranks 204th (20.1).
  • The Delta Devils average 2.9 blocks per game, which ranks 146th in the NCAA. The Bulldogs rank 174th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
  • Alabama A&M ranks 145th in steals per game (6.1) while Mississippi Valley State ranks 155th in steals allowed per game (6.9).
  • The Delta Devils rank 151st in rebounds per game (35.7) while the Bulldogs rank 275th in rebounds allowed per game (39.1).
  • Alabama A&M ranks 226th in assists allowed per game (14.4) while Mississippi Valley State ranks 280th (20.1).
  • Mississippi Valley State is 1-5 ATS at home, while Alabama A&M is 8-5-1 ATS on the road.
  • The Bulldogs have 8 unders and 6 overs in 14 road games.
  • The Delta Devils have 4 overs and 2 unders in 6 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Alabama A&M and Mississippi Valley State are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Bulldogs have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Delta Devils have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • The Bulldogs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.4, down from 10.1 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Delta Devils have scored an average of 70.8 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 88.8 points per game (2.1 below their season average).