Air Force Falcons vs. Fresno State Bulldogs ATS Prediction 03/14/19

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The Air Force Falcons (14-17, 9-10 MWC) go head-to-head with the Fresno State Bulldogs (22-8, 13-5 MWC) in the Mountain West Conference Tournament at Thomas & Mack Center. The game starts at 11:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 14, 2019, and will air on CBS Sports Network.

Air Force Falcons vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Odds

Both teams thoroughly outplayed their last opponent. The Bulldogs defeated the San Jose State Spartans 121-81, while the Falcons beat the San Jose State Spartans 87-56.

Air Force dominated every stat category in the game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 29.7 (above their season average of 23.7) and a turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 17.5). San Jose State was 5.6 and 18.0, respectively, for those same stats. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, held the Spartans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.2 (below their season average of 29.2) and had a turnover percentage of 12.1 (better than their season average of 16.2). Deshon Taylor had a good outing for Fresno State, putting up 37 points and eight assists. Chris Joyce played a pivotal role for Air Force with 20 points.

The sweet-shooting offense of Fresno State (35th in the country with an effective field goal percentage 0.547) will battle against the porous defense of Air Force (307th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.531). The Bulldogs figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.

Air Force vs. Fresno State Pick

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Fresno State, ATS Winner – Fresno State, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Fresno State ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (27.8) while Air Force ranks 277th in three pointers allowed per game (25.9).
  • The Bulldogs rank 127th in rebounds per game (35.9) while the Falcons rank 227th (33.6).
  • Fresno State ranks 104th in assists per game (14.1) while Air Force ranks 177th in assists allowed per game (13.5).
  • The Bulldogs rank 72nd in steals per game (7.0) while the Falcons rank 226th (4.9).
  • Fresno State ranks 106th in blocks per game (3.4) while Air Force ranks 225th (1.7).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Falcons have outscored opponents by an average of 2.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Air Force has lost by an average of 2.9 points.
  • During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 79.4 points per game (2.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 70.6 points per game (3.0 above their season average).