The UAPB Golden Lions (3-19, 2-8 SWAC) welcome the Alabama State Hornets (6-17, 5-5 SWAC) to H.O. Clemmons Arena. The Golden Lions are 3-point underdogs and will attempt to snap their seven-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 118.5 points and action starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.
Alabama State Hornets vs. UAPB Golden Lions ATS Odds
The Hornets will be hoping for a similar result after covering the 8-point spread against the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils in their last contest, 87-74. The Golden Lions, meanwhile, were beaten by the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, 58-54, and failed to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. The Alabama State game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 150.5, while the UAPB game went 9.5 points under the projected point total of 121.5.
Alabama State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 44.7 (above their season average of 23.8) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.591 (above their season average of 0.450). For those same stats, Mississippi Valley State had marks of 21.7 and 0.445, respectively. UAPB, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 12.4 (better than their season average of 24.5). UAPB rallied around Terrance Banyard, who recorded 14 points and 11 rebounds. Meanwhile, Jacoby Ross led the way for Alabama State, finishing with 26 points and 11 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Marquell Carter led the Golden Lions to a 61-56 win. He produced 19 points. The two teams combined to score 117 points, which was under the projected point total of 125.5, and UAPB covered as a 7-point underdog. UAPB’s 0.547 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Alabama State, who had a rate of 0.398.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Hornets games, with 12 unders compared to 10 overs. Alabama State heads into the contest with records of 6-17 straight up (SU) and 12-11 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Golden Lions’ 20 games that accepted bets, 16 have finished under the O/U total. Further, UAPB owns records of 3-19 SU and 10-10 ATS.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Alabama State. Alabama State ranks 322nd in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 21.9 percent), while the disruptive defense of UAPB forces the 78th-most turnovers in the nation (21.4 percent).
Alabama State Hornets vs. UAPB Golden Lions Odds Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Alabama State, ATS Winner – Alabama State, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Alabama State ranks 160th in three pointers attempted per game (21.5) while UAPB ranks 298th (13.5).
- The Hornets rank 255th in assists per game (10.6) while the Golden Lions rank 271st (9.3).
- Alabama State ranks 281st in rebounds per game (31.7) while UAPB ranks 290th (30.5).
- The Golden Lions average 7.5 steals per game, which ranks 62nd in the NCAA. The Hornets rank 183rd in steals allowed per game (7.3).
- UAPB ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (2.5) while Alabama State ranks 142nd (3.7).
- UAPB is 2-3 ATS at home, while Alabama State is 10-9 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 3 of the Golden Lions’ 5 home games, while 9 of the Hornets’ 19 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Alabama State and UAPB are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Hornets have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Golden Lions have 5 unders
- During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 69.8 points per game (7.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 64.2 points per game (8.8 below their season average).
- The Golden Lions’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, down from 16.0 for the season.
