Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthers ATS Prediction 02/01/20

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A nine-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Georgia State Panthers (15-7, 8-3 SBC) when they square off with the Troy Trojans (8-15, 4-8 SBC) at GSU Sports Arena. The game gets underway at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 1, 2020.

Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthers Betting Odds

In their last game, the Panthers barely escaped the South Alabama Jaguars, 76-73, while the Trojans were blown out by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 86-57.

The Panthers made 25 of their 33 free throws (75.8 percent) and held the Jaguars to an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (below the 34.0 mark opponents have averaged against Georgia State this season). Troy, on the other hand, held Georgia Southern to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.6 (below their season average of 27.4). Nelson Phillips played a pivotal role for Georgia State with 15 points and seven rebounds. Nick Stampley had a good game for Troy, finishing with 12 points and eight rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, KJ Simon led the Trojans to a 75-65 win. He produced 16 points and nine rebounds. Troy’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Georgia State. The Trojans had a rate of 0.220, while the Panthers posted a mark of 0.154.

Georgia State could dominate on the defensive side of the ball as they battle against one of the worst offenses in the country. The Panthers currently rank 24th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.442), while Troy is 305th in effective field goal percentage (0.468). Ball security could be troublesome for the Trojans. They rank 264th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 20.5 percent), while the Panthers force the 33rd-most turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.2 percent).

Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthers Betting Pick

College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Georgia State ranks 82nd in rebounds per game (37.5) while Troy ranks 257th in rebounds allowed per game (38.6).
  • The Panthers rank 103rd in three pointers attempted per game (23.2) while the Trojans rank 197th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).
  • Georgia State ranks 48th in blocks per game (4.3) while Troy ranks 138th (2.8).
  • The Panthers rank 23rd in steals per game (8.8) while the Trojans rank 165th (5.8).
  • Georgia State ranks 56th in assists per game (14.8) while Troy ranks 189th in assists allowed per game (13.9).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Panthers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, down from 8.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Trojans have scored an average of 64.6 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 78.4 points per game (6.3 above their season average).