It will be a meeting between two outstanding offenses when the 22nd-ranked LSU Tigers (15-4, 6-0 SEC), 4.5-point favorites, take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (12-7, 4-2 SEC) at Pete Maravich Assembly Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 164 points and it can be seen on ESPN2 at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2020.
Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers ATS Odds
Both teams barely escaped their last opponent. The Tigers defeated the Texas Longhorns 69-67, while the Crimson Tide beat the Kansas State Wildcats 77-74.
The Crimson Tide knocked down 27 of their 37 free throws (73.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.581 (above their season average of 0.522). The Tigers, on the other hand, made 16 of their 20 free throws (80.0 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 51.7 (above their season average of 36.3). Trendon Watford put together a solid outing for LSU with 22 points and six rebounds. Kira Lewis Jr., meanwhile had a solid performance for Alabama, recording 26 points and seven rebounds.
The Tigers dominated this series last year, taking both contests. In the most recent matchup, LSU won 74-69. The Tigers’ 33.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Crimson Tide, who had a rate of 26.1. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a matchup of two heavyweights. The elite LSU offense ranks 52nd in the country in that metric at 0.531, while the elite Alabama defense is ranked 39th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.453). Additionally, the Crimson Tide are among the nation’s best at getting to the line, ranking 29th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.278). The Tigers, however, rank 31st at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.167.
Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers Free Pick
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Alabama, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- Alabama averages 29.1 three pointers per game, which ranks ninth in the nation. LSU ranks 247th in three pointers allowed per game (25.3).
- The Tigers average 6.6 steals per game, which ranks 118th in the country. The Crimson Tide rank 198th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
- Alabama ranks 95th in assists per game (13.9) while LSU ranks 118th in assists allowed per game (12.4).
- The Tigers average 39.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 28th in the NCAA. The Crimson Tide rank 255th in rebounds allowed per game (39.2).
- LSU averages 4.4 blocks per game, which ranks 47th in the nation. Alabama ranks 150th in blocks allowed per game (4.2).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 76.4 points per game (3.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.8 points per game (4.2 above their season average).
- The Crimson Tide’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 6.2 for the season.
