Dayton Flyers at Saint Joseph’s Hawks ATS Prediction 01/05/20

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The 20th-ranked Dayton Flyers (12-2, 1-0 A10) will be at Michael J. Hagan ’85 Arena to take on the Saint Joseph’s Hawks (3-10, 0-1 A10) in an A10 matchup. The game starts at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 5, 2020.

Dayton Flyers at Saint Joseph’s Hawks ATS Odds

In their last matchup, the Hawks got blown out by the Richmond Spiders, 84-52, while the Flyers dismantled the La Salle Explorers, 84-58.

Dayton dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.293 (above their season average of 0.206) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.578 (below their season average of 0.612). La Salle was 0.136 and 0.371, respectively, for those same stats. Saint Joseph’s, on the other hand, held Richmond to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.6 (below their season average of 23.8). Cameron Brown fueled Saint Joseph’s with 11 points and seven rebounds. Dayton, meanwhile, was led by Obi Toppin, who contributed 20 points and seven rebounds.

The Flyers won the only contest between these two teams last season, 75-64. Dayton’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Flyers had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. 5), defensive rebounds (30 vs. 26) and total rebounds (41 vs. 31). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

It will be a matchup of conflicting paces as the fast-paced Hawks (ranked 51st in the NCAA in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Flyers (157th in possessions per game). Furthermore, the third-ranked offense of the Flyers (offensive efficiency of 118.0) will try to exploit the 346th-ranked defense of the Hawks (defensive efficiency of 112.9).

Dayton Flyers at Saint Joseph’s Hawks Odds Pick

Free Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Saint Joseph’s, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Dayton ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (31.2) while Saint Joseph’s ranks 247th (40.8).
  • The Hawks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (31.8) while the Flyers rank 108th (23.4).
  • Dayton ranks 33rd in steals allowed per game (5.4) while Saint Joseph’s ranks 126th (6.9).
  • The Flyers rank second in assists per game (19.8) while the Hawks rank 160th in assists allowed per game (13.5).
  • Dayton ranks 41st in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while Saint Joseph’s ranks 149th (4.8).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 19.8, up from 11.8 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 77.8 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 61.2 points per game (3.9 below their season average).