The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (6-4, 0-1 BigSky) will be at Max Worthington Arena to challenge the Montana State Bobcats (7-5, 1-0 BigSky) in a BigSky matchup. The game is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, December 30, 2019.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Montana State Bobcats ATS Odds
In their last game, the Bobcats were victorious over the Sacramento State Hornets, 66-51, while the Lumberjacks fell to the Montana Grizzlies, 79-72.
Montana State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 14.8 (better than their season average of 20.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.483 (below their season average of 0.543). For those same stats, Sacramento State recorded marks of 19.5 and 0.396, respectively. Northern Arizona, on the other hand, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.492 vs. 0.525). Montana State’s Harald Frey played well, contributing 18 points, seven assists and five rebounds. Northern Arizona, meanwhile, was led by Cameron Shelton, who contributed 17 points and nine rebounds.
This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Bobcats won the last matchup 84-73. Montana State’s 0.172 free throw rate was their largest strength over Northern Arizona, who had a rate of 0.123. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, Montana State should have a substantial advantage. The elite Bobcats offense ranks 56th in the NCAA in that metric at 0.537, while the bottom-tier Northern Arizona defense is ranked 260th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.507).
Northern Arizona at Montana State ATS Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Montana State, ATS Winner – Montana State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Northern Arizona ranks 25th in three pointers allowed per game (18.2) while Montana State ranks 163rd (23.3).
- The Bobcats are 29th in the country with 2.4 blocks allowed per game while the Lumberjacks are 32nd with 2.5 blocks allowed per game.
- The Lumberjacks rank 87th in steals per game (7.4) while the Bobcats rank 138th in steals allowed per game (7.1).
- Northern Arizona averages 14.5 assists per game, which ranks 75th in the nation. Montana State ranks 98th in assists allowed per game (12.3).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Bobcats have scored an average of 70.4 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 74.4 points per game (8.7 above their season average).
- The Lumberjacks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 6.8 for the season.
