Virginia Cavaliers at Purdue Boilermakers Betting Prediction 12/04/19

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Expect a defensive struggle when the fifth-ranked Virginia Cavaliers (7-0) square off with the Purdue Boilermakers (4-3) at Mackey Arena. The game starts at 7:15 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019, and will air on ESPN2.

Virginia Cavaliers at Purdue Boilermakers ATS Odds

In their last matchup, the Boilermakers lost a close one to the Florida State Seminoles, 63-60, while the Cavaliers easily got past the Maine Black Bears, 46-26.

Virginia played a nearly flawless game. They had an effective field goal percentage of 0.455 (above their season average of 0.451) and a turnover percentage of 21.6 (worse than their season average of 16.3). For those same stats, Maine was 0.244 and 31.7, respectively. Purdue, on the other hand, held Florida State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (below their season average of 35.0). Matt Haarms had a solid performance for Purdue, contributing 16 points and eight rebounds. Mamadi Diakite, meanwhile played a key role for Virginia with 15 points and seven rebounds.

The Cavaliers won the only contest between these two teams last season, 80-75. The Cavaliers’ 6.3 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Boilermakers, who had a mark of 13.2.

This showdown pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Purdue ranks 11th in offensive efficiency and Virginia is fifth in defensive efficiency dating back to the 2018-19 season.

Virginia at Purdue Free Pick

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Virginia, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • Purdue ranks 42nd in three pointers attempted per game (26.3) while Virginia ranks 217th (21.1).
  • The Boilermakers rank 176th in steals per game (6.2) while the Cavaliers rank 230th (5.7).
  • Virginia is eighth in the country with 29.8 rebounds allowed per game while Purdue is 24th with 31.7 rebounds allowed per game.
  • The Cavaliers rank 29th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while the Boilermakers rank 203rd (3.7).
  • Virginia ranks second in assists allowed per game (8.5) while Purdue ranks 95th (12.1).