The Milwaukee Bucks (15-3) visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to square off against the Cleveland Cavaliers (5-13). The Bucks are a 10-point favorite and will try to lengthen their nine-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 228 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Ohio at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 29, 2019.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last contest. The Bucks (14.5-point favorites) defeated the Atlanta Hawks, 111-102, while the Cavaliers (1-point underdogs) fell to the Orlando Magic, 116-104. The Milwaukee game went 26.5 points under the projected point total of 239.5, while the Cleveland game finished 10 points over the projected point total of 210.
Milwaukee played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.5 (better than their season average of 12.8) and a free throw rate of 0.193 (matching their season average). For those same stats, Atlanta was 14.1 and 0.160, respectively. Cleveland, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.0 (above their season average of 22.4). Cleveland’s Tristan Thompson played well, putting up 13 points and 15 rebounds. Giannis Antetokounmpo, meanwhile fueled Milwaukee with 30 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, George Hill led the Bucks to a 129-112 win. He put up 19 points and eight rebounds. Milwaukee covered as a 16-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 241 points, which was well over the projected point total of 224.5. Milwaukee’s 0.174 free throw rate was their largest strength over Cleveland, who had a mark of 0.100.
Matchups featuring the Bucks have a tendency to go over the total (55.6 percent). Milwaukee is 15-3 straight up (SU), but they are just 8-10 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Milwaukee, Cavaliers games have a tendency to go under the O/U total (55.6 percent). Additionally, Cleveland is 5-13 SU and 7-9-2 ATS.
The ineffective offense of Cleveland will face off against the top-notch defense of Milwaukee. The Cavaliers rank 26th in offensive efficiency, while the Bucks are fifth in defensive efficiency. The Bucks figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. It will also be a matchup of opposite styles as the aggressively-paced Bucks rank second in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Cavaliers rank 24th.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank 14th in assists per game (24.4) while the Cavaliers rank last (19.9).
- Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.8) while Cleveland ranks 27th (51.2).
- The Bucks rank second in fast break points per game (18.2) while the Cavaliers rank 24th (11.4).
- Milwaukee ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while Cleveland ranks 22nd (13.9).
- Cleveland ranks 12th in three pointers allowed per game (32.8) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (38.4).
- The Bucks rank third in blocks per game (6.6) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (3.1).
- The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (51.5) while the Cavaliers rank 20th (44.3).
- Milwaukee ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.6) while Cleveland ranks 17th (7.9).
- Milwaukee ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while Cleveland ranks 29th (14.0).
- Cleveland is 2-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Milwaukee is 3-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Cavaliers are 5-8 and the Bucks are 15-3.
- Milwaukee is 5-5 ATS on the road, while Cleveland is 3-5-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Bucks’ 10 road games, while 5 of the Cavaliers’ 9 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Milwaukee and Cleveland are both 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.6, down from 9.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 119.0 points per game (7.3 above their season average).
