Sacramento Kings at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction 11/27/19

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A seven-game home winning streak is on the line for the Philadelphia 76ers (11-6), who will be 9.5-point favorites when they challenge the Sacramento Kings (7-9) at Wells Fargo Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 209 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019.

Sacramento Kings vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds

Both teams fell in their last matchup. The 76ers (2-point favorites) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 101-96, while the Kings (6-point underdogs) fell to the Boston Celtics, 103-102. The Philadelphia game went 16 points under the projected point total of 213, while the Sacramento game finished 1 point under the projected point total of 206.

Sacramento was lights out from beyond the arc (18-47; 38.3 percent) while Philadelphia had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.4 (above their season average of 24.0). Ben Simmons put together a solid outing for Philadelphia with 10 points, 14 assists and nine rebounds. Buddy Hield had a good game for Sacramento, finishing with 41 points and five rebounds.

This was a highly contested series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the last matchup, the 76ers won 123-114. Philadelphia was effective at getting to and converting from the free throw line. The 76ers made 24 of their 27 free throws (88.9 percent), while the Kings were 19-24 (79.2 percent). This is the first time these teams will battle this year.

Of the Kings’ 16 games, 11 have finished under the total. Sacramento heads into the contest with records of 7-9 straight up (SU) and 10-6 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of 76ers games have finished over the O/U total. Moreover, Philadelphia owns records of 11-6 SU and 9-8 ATS.

The Kings’ Hield has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 20 points,3.8 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Simmons has averaged 12 points,10.4 assists,8.0 rebounds,1.8 steals during that same time frame for the 76ers.

This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Philadelphia. Philadelphia ranks 25th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.5 percent), while the gambling defense of Sacramento forces the eighth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.8 percent).

Kings at 76ers Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Kings rank eighth (4.4).
  • Philadelphia ranks eighth in rebounds per game (47.0) while Sacramento ranks 29th (41.3).
  • The 76ers rank fourth in assists per game (26.8) while the Kings rank 21st (22.8).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.0) while Sacramento ranks 14th (13.3).
  • Sacramento ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.0) while Philadelphia ranks eighth (12.2).
  • The 76ers average 8.8 steals per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Kings rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.5).
  • The 76ers rank first in three pointers allowed per game (26.4) while the Kings rank ninth (32.2).
  • Philadelphia ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (48.8) while Sacramento ranks 28th (40.3).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 3-1 and Philadelphia is 5-0.
  • In games where they score above 100 points, the 76ers are 10-3 and the Kings are 7-4.
  • Sacramento is 6-3 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 4-3 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of the 76ers’ 7 home games, while 7 of the Kings’ 9 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Kings are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Sacramento has 4 unders and 1 over, while Philadelphia has 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
  • The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 3.6 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (0.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.0 points per game (6.8 below their season average).