A six-game home winning streak is on the line for the Boston Celtics (12-4) when they take on the Brooklyn Nets (9-8) at TD Garden. Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019.
Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics ATS Odds
The Nets come in on a high note after edging the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last contest, 108-106, as 1-point underdogs. The Celtics, meanwhile, beat the Sacramento Kings,103-102, but failed to cover as 6-point favorites. The Brooklyn game finished 5 points under the projected point total of 219, while the Boston game went 1 point under the projected point total of 206.
Brooklyn played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.7 (above their season average of 22.1) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.527 (above their season average of 0.518). For those same stats, Cleveland was 25.0 and 0.495, respectively. Boston, on the other hand, played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.235 (above their season average of 0.205) and a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 10.7). For those same stats, Sacramento put up marks of 0.127 and 14.1, respectively. Boston’s Marcus Smart had a good outing, contributing 17 points, seven assists and five steals. Jarrett Allen, meanwhile played a key role for Brooklyn with 22 points and 21 rebounds.
This was a highly contested series last year. Each won two of the four games played against each other last season. The Nets won the most recent matchup 110-96. The Nets’ 11.2 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Celtics, who had a rate of 13.9. This is the first time these teams will clash this year.
Nets games have gone under the projected point total 52.9 percent of the time. Brooklyn heads into the contest with records of 9-8 straight up (SU) and 8-8-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to place the total high when the Celtics are involved, as 11 of their 17 games have ended under the total. Moreover, Boston owns records of 12-4 SU and 9-6-1 ATS.
The Nets’ Spencer Dinwiddie has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 25 points,6.2 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Smart has averaged 13 points,5.6 assists,1.8 steals during that same time frame for the Celtics.
Boston should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Boston ranks first in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 11.7 percent), while Brooklyn forces the first-fewest turnovers (12.2 percent).
Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Celtics rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while the Nets rank seventh (12.1).
- Boston ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.3) while Brooklyn ranks 22nd (18.4).
- The Nets rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (36.5) while the Celtics rank 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.9).
- Boston ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.3) while Brooklyn ranks 13th (47.5).
- Brooklyn averages 14.4 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Boston ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (13.2).
- The Nets average 47.1 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Celtics rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (48.3).
- The Nets rank 14th in blocks per game (5.1) while the Celtics rank 24th in blocks allowed per game (6.0).
- Brooklyn is fourth in the league with 22.2 assists allowed per game while Boston is fifth with 22.5 assists allowed per game.
- Boston ranks first in steals allowed per game (5.6) while Brooklyn ranks 20th (8.2).
- Brooklyn is 2-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Boston is 3-1.
- When reaching 100 points, the Celtics are 11-1 and the Nets are 9-6.
- Boston is 3-3 ATS at home, while Brooklyn is 4-4-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 3 of the Celtics’ 6 home games, while 4 of the Nets’ 9 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Brooklyn and Boston are both 3-2 ATS with 5 unders.
- The Nets have outscored opponents by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Brooklyn has been defeated by an average of 1.2 points.
- During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 99.4 points per game (10.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.0 points per game (5.7 below their season average).
