Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors ATS Prediction 11/25/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The NBA’s top shooting defense will be 1-point favorites at home in Scotiabank Arena, when the Toronto Raptors (11-4) go head-to-head with the Philadelphia 76ers (11-5). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214 points and it will air on CTV Sportsnet Toronto at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019.

Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors ATS Odds

The last time the 76ers played, they won big over the Miami Heat, 113-86, comfortably covering as 5.5-point favorites. The Raptors, meanwhile, defeated the Atlanta Hawks,119-116, but failed to cover as 7-point favorites. The Philadelphia game finished 11.5 points under the projected point total of 210.5, while the Toronto game went 11 points over the projected point total of 224.

Philadelphia dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a great effective field goal percentage of 0.590 (above their season average of 0.531) and a turnover percentage of 13.4 (better than their season average of 14.1). For those same stats, Miami put up marks of 0.440 and 16.4, respectively. The Raptors, meanwhile, made 26 of their 30 free throws (86.7 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6 (above their season average of 19.1). Toronto was lifted by Pascal Siakam, who finished with 34 points. Meanwhile, Joel Embiid played a pivotal role for Philadelphia with 23 points and 11 rebounds.

The Raptors took this series last year, securing victories in seven out of 11 games. In the most recent contest, Toronto won 92-90. Toronto out-rebounded Philadelphia. The Raptors had 16 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the 76ers had five and 41, respectively. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Of the 76ers’ 16 games, eight have finished over, seven have finished under and one has pushed. Philadelphia comes into the contest with records of 11-5 straight up (SU) and 9-7 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Raptors’ 15 games, 9 have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Toronto owns records of 11-4 SU and 9-6 ATS.

Second-chance opportunities could be rare for Toronto in this contest. The Raptors are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 27th in offensive rebounding percentage at 19.7 percent. Meanwhile, Philadelphia ranks first in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 83.1 percent. Furthermore, the 76ers rank 25th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.179), while the Raptors rank fifth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.176).

Philadelphia 76ers at Toronto Raptors ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors rank first in fast break points per game (20.1) while the 76ers rank 14th (13.4).
  • Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (25.9) while Toronto ranks 29th (38.3).
  • The 76ers rank second in assists allowed per game (19.7) while the Raptors rank 21st (25.5).
  • Toronto ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Philadelphia ranks 22nd (8.3).
  • Philadelphia ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while Toronto ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.2).
  • The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (39.8) while the Raptors rank 25th (48.2).
  • The 76ers rank first in second chance points allowed per game (9.9) while the Raptors rank 17th (13.5).
  • Toronto ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.1) while Philadelphia ranks ninth (45.4).
  • Philadelphia ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Toronto ranks 25th (6.3).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, Toronto is 4-1 and Philadelphia is 5-0.
  • In games where they score over 100 points, the 76ers are 10-3 and the Raptors are 11-3.
  • Philadelphia is 5-4 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 5-1 ATS at home.
  • In 9 road games, the 76ers have 6 overs and 3 unders.
  • The Raptors have 5 overs and 1 under in 6 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Philadelphia and Toronto are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The 76ers have 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over their last five games, while the Raptors have 4 overs and 1 under
  • The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 5.2 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (2.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average).