A five-game home winning streak is on the line for the Boston Celtics (11-4) when they welcome the Sacramento Kings (7-8) to TD Garden. Action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019.
Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celtics ATS Odds
In their last matchup, the Kings (2-point underdogs) covered in a 113-106 victory over the Washington Wizards. The Celtics were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 96-92, but did cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Sacramento game went 4.5 points over the projected point total of 214.5, while the Boston game finished 19 points under the projected point total of 207.
Sacramento played a nearly perfect game. They had a great free throw rate of 0.296 (above their season average of 0.177) and a turnover percentage of 12.2 (better than their season average of 14.4). For those same stats, Washington had marks of 0.098 and 14.1, respectively. Boston, meanwhile, did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (19-23; 82.6 percent). Boston was lifted by Jaylen Brown, who contributed 22 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Richaun Holmes played a key role for Sacramento with 16 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Hield led the Kings to a 100-99 victory. He scored a game-high 35 points. Sacramento covered as a 3-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 199 points, which was well under the projected point total of 215. Sacramento had a better turnover percentage (11.3 vs. 13.1). Boston, on the other hand, did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (21-24; 87.5 percent).
Of the Kings’ 14 games with betting action, nine have finished under the total. Sacramento comes into the contest with records of 7-8 straight up (SU) and 8-6 against the spread (ATS).
Celtics games also tend to go under the total (66.7 percent). Further, Boston owns records of 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS.
The Kings’ Holmes has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 14 points,10.4 rebounds,1.4 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Marcus Smart has averaged 14 points,6.0 assists,1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Celtics.
Boston figures to have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Celtics rank third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.490), while Sacramento is 15th in effective field goal percentage (0.524).
Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celtics ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank 14th in three pointers attempted per game (34.1) while the Celtics rank 19th in three pointers allowed per game (34.1).
- Sacramento ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.1) while Boston ranks 28th (49.1).
- The Celtics rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.3) while the Kings rank 11th (17.1).
- Boston ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.1) while Sacramento ranks 13th (23.7).
- Sacramento ranks 17th in blocks per game (4.7) while Boston ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.9).
- The Celtics rank first in steals allowed per game (5.8) while the Kings rank 24th (8.4).
- The Kings rank first in fast break points allowed per game (9.8) while the Celtics rank eighth (12.2).
- Sacramento ranks 24th in second chance points per game (12.0) while Boston ranks 25th (11.9).
- Boston ranks 14th in points in the paint per game (47.7) while Sacramento ranks 27th (41.2).
- When allowing under 100 points, Sacramento and Boston are both 3-1.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Kings are 7-3 and the Celtics are 10-1.
- Sacramento is 4-3 ATS on the road, while Boston is 3-2 ATS at home.
- The Kings have 5 unders and 2 overs in 7 road games.
- In 5 home games, the Celtics have 3 overs and 2 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Celtics are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 4 unders and 1 over, while Boston has 5 unders.
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, down from 3.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 99.8 points per game (10.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.6 points per game (6.2 below their season average).
