Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets Betting Prediction 11/24/19

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It will be a showdown between two sensational offenses when the Houston Rockets (11-5), 5-point favorites, clash with the Dallas Mavericks (10-5) at Toyota Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 232 points and it will air on ATTSN Southwest at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 24, 2019.

Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Mavericks (10.5-point favorites) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers, 143-101, while the Rockets (5-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 122-119. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Dallas game went 23 points over the projected point total of 221, while the Houston game finished 14 points over the projected point total of 227.

Dallas played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 4.6 (better than their season average of 11.4) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.8 (above their season average of 24.1). For those same stats, Cleveland was 9.7 and 17.0, respectively. Houston, on the other hand, had a free throw rate of 0.310 (above their season average of 0.248). Houston’s James Harden had a good outing, contributing 37 points, 12 assists and eight rebounds. Dallas was led by Luka Doncic, who had 30 points, 14 assists and seven rebounds.

This series was highly competitive last year, as the teams split their four games last season. The Rockets won the last contest 94-93. The Rockets’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Mavericks. Houston had a rate of 10.9, while Dallas posted a mark of 15.6. This will be the first meeting of the year between these two teams.

Of the Mavericks’ 15 games, 10 have finished over the projected point total. Dallas comes into the contest with records of 10-5 straight up (SU) and 8-7 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Dallas, Rockets games have a tendency to go under the projected point total (62.5 percent). Moreover, Houston is 11-5 SU and 9-7 ATS.

This meeting figures to be a high-scoring affair as a pair of the NBA’s top offenses go head-to-head. Houston currently ranks fifth with 109.7 points per 100 possessions and Dallas is first (115.1).

Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Betting Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Mavericks rank 14th in points in the paint per game (47.9) while the Rockets rank 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.3).
  • Dallas averages 39.3 three pointers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Houston ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (35.9).
  • The Rockets rank sixth in fast break points per game (15.2) while the Mavericks rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
  • Houston ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Dallas ranks 26th (14.9).
  • Dallas ranks 11th in assists per game (25.1) while Houston ranks 25th (21.0).
  • The Mavericks rank fifth in rebounds per game (47.8) while the Rockets rank 24th in rebounds allowed per game (47.6).
  • The Mavericks average 14.8 second chance points per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Rockets rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
  • Dallas ranks second in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Houston ranks sixth (4.5).
  • Houston ranks eighth in steals per game (8.5) while Dallas ranks 26th (5.9).
  • Dallas is 1-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Houston is 2-0.
  • The Rockets are 11-4 when they score more than 100 points, while the Mavericks are 10-5.
  • Houston is 4-3 ATS at home, while Dallas is 4-2 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of the Rockets’ 7 home games, while 4 of the Mavericks’ 6 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Dallas and Houston are both 4-1 ATS.
  • The Mavericks have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Rockets have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 123.0 points per game (5.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (6.5 below their season average).
  • The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.0, up from 4.3 for the season.