Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls Free Prediction 11/22/19

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The Miami Heat (10-3), 4.5-point favorites, will travel to the United Center to clash against the Chicago Bulls (5-10). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214.5 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 22, 2019.

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Bulls (1-point underdogs) defeated the Detroit Pistons 109-89, while the Heat (9.5-point favorite) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 124-100. The Chicago game went 24.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5, while the Miami game finished 11 points over the projected point total of 213.

Miami dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.295 (above their season average of 0.223) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 20.8). For those same stats, Cleveland recorded marks of 0.161 and 23.8, respectively. The Bulls, on the other hand, held the Pistons to an effective field goal percentage of 0.386 (below their season average of 0.544) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.1 (above their season average of 21.9). Shaquille Harrison led the way for Chicago, contributing 15 points, 11 rebounds and five assists. Jimmy Butler fueled Miami with 21 points, five rebounds and five assists.

The Heat edged out the Bulls in this series last year, emerging victorious in two out of three games. In the most recent game, Chicago won 105-89. Converting at the free throw line was one of Chicago’s biggest strengths. They were 17-21 (81.0 percent), while the Heat were just 9-13 (69.2 percent). This is the first time these teams will clash this year.

Games including the Heat have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (53.8 percent). Miami holds records of 10-3 straight up (SU) and 9-2-2 against the spread (ATS).

Similarly to Miami, a little over half of Bulls games have finished under the projected point total. Additionally, Chicago owns records of 5-10 SU and 7-8 ATS.

Chicago might have trouble putting up points as they go head-to-head against one of the league’s best defenses. Miami currently ranks first in defensive efficiency, while the Bulls rank 28th in offensive efficiency. Ball protection could be troublesome for the Heat. They rank 30th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 17.1 percent), while the Bulls force the second-most turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 17.3 percent).

Miami Heat vs. Chicago Bulls ATS Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Heat average 26.2 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Bulls rank 16th in assists allowed per game (24.1).
  • Chicago averages 22.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Miami ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.2).
  • The Heat rank sixth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Bulls rank 27th (6.9).
  • Chicago ranks third in second chance points per game (15.3) while Miami ranks 22nd (11.8).
  • Chicago averages 34.9 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Miami ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (37.3).
  • The Heat rank second in rebounds allowed per game (40.5) while the Bulls rank 27th (49.1).
  • The Bulls rank third in fast break points per game (15.7) while the Heat rank 20th (12.4).
  • Miami averages 47.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Chicago ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.9).
  • Chicago averages 9.5 steals per game, which ranks second in the league. Miami ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (9.2).
  • Chicago is 2-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Miami is 4-1.
  • The Bulls are 5-6 when they score more than 100 points, while the Heat are 10-1.
  • Chicago is 4-4 ATS at home, while Miami is 4-2-1 ATS on the road.
  • The Heat have 4 unders and 3 overs in 7 road games.
  • The Bulls have 4 overs and 4 unders in 8 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Heat are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Miami has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Chicago has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Heat’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.8, up from 8.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (3.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (0.4 below their season average).