The Phoenix Suns (7-5), 1.5-point underdogs, will be at the Golden 1 Center to meet the Sacramento Kings (5-7) in a Pacific Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 220.5 points and it will air on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 19, 2019.
Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Odds
The Kings come in on a high note after narrowly defeating the Boston Celtics in their last matchup, 100-99, as 3-point underdogs. The Suns, meanwhile, were defeated by the Boston Celtics, 99-85, and failed to cover as 8-point underdogs. The Sacramento game finished 16 points under the projected point total of 215, while the Phoenix game went 45.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5.
The Kings had 8 steals and held the Celtics to an effective field goal percentage of 0.476 (below the 0.553 mark opponents have averaged against Sacramento this season). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.463 vs. 0.483). Buddy Hield had a solid performance for Sacramento, finishing with 35 points and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Phoenix received a boost from Dario Saric, who had nine points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Deandre Ayton led the Suns to a 124-95 win. He recorded a double-double with 18 points and 11 rebounds. Phoenix covered as a 1-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 219 points, which was under the projected point total of 232.5. The Suns’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Kings. Phoenix had a rate of 11.7, while Sacramento posted a mark of 20.9.
Just over half of the Suns’ games have finished over the projected point total. Phoenix holds records of 7-5 straight up (SU) and 9-2 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Kings are involved, as 66.7 percent of their games have finished under the projected point total. Further, Sacramento owns records of 5-7 SU and 7-5 ATS.
This has potential to be a sloppy game for the Sacramento offense. Sacramento ranks 23rd in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Phoenix forces the third-most turnovers in the league (16.4 percent). Furthermore, the Suns rank third in effective field goal percentage (0.546), whereas the suspect defense of the Kings ranks 28th with an effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.547.
Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Suns rank 17th in steals per game (7.4) while the Kings rank 19th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
- Phoenix ranks first in assists per game (28.3) while Sacramento ranks 23rd (21.8).
- The Suns rank second in points off turnovers per game (21.8) while the Kings rank 16th (17.0).
- Sacramento ranks 16th in second chance points per game (13.1) while Phoenix ranks 25th (10.3).
- Phoenix ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (30.3) while Sacramento ranks ninth (31.8).
- The Suns rank 10th in points in the paint per game (49.2) while the Kings rank last (38.8).
- The Kings rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while the Suns rank 11th (44.8).
- Phoenix ranks third in fast break points per game (16.7) while Sacramento ranks 18th (12.7).
- Sacramento is 3-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Phoenix is 1-2.
- When scoring over 100 points, the Suns are 7-3 and the Kings are 5-3.
- Sacramento is 3-3 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 3-0 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 3 of the Suns’ 3 road games, while 4 of the Kings’ 6 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Phoenix has 5 overs.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 109.0 points per game (4.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (2.4 below their season average).
- The Suns’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 5.3 for the season.
